NG002-0025
Development and application of a tropospheric-stratospheric adjoint to identify the ozone-neutral aircraft cruise altitude
Abstract:
We develop an adjoint of the GEOS-Chem CTM which includes unified tropospheric-stratospheric chemistry-capable of capturing stratospheric chemistry and physics. This enables, for instance, the evaluation of adjoint sensitivities during the Antarctic polar winter, including the influence of polar stratospheric clouds.
We apply this model to produce multi-year sensitivities of global column ozone with respect to potential changes in the cruising altitude and emissions profile of commercial aviation, including the possibility of the reintroduction of supersonic commercial flight. We find that the “ozone-neutral cruise” altitude is around 15 km, but varies with fuel sulfur content (FSC) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions. Chemical sensitivity data shows that, at this altitude, NOx-driven ozone production is offset by ozone depletion from sulfur emissions. However, if the FSC were reduced to zero, the altitude of this band would increase to 16 km.
Using adjoint modeling, we find that the desulfurization of aviation jet fuel could arise as an outcome to greatly reduce aviation-attributable ozone impacts, at the cost of suppressed sulfur-induced cooling. The GEOS-Chem UCX Adjoint opens up new opportunities for both sensitivity evaluation and inverse modeling, including with regards to stratospheric column observations.