A250-05
The Influence of Assimilating CYGNSS DDMs on Global Analyses and Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Abstract:
In the global case, CYGNSS DDMs are assimilated into the ECMWF 10-m surface wind analyses by a Variational Analysis Method (VAM). Results from one month of data are assessed by collocated scatterometer (ASCAT, OSCAT) winds. The root-mean-square error (RMSE) and bias of wind speeds at specular points are reduced from 1.17 to 1.07 m/s and -0.14 to -0.08 m/s, respectively. Wind vectors at specular points from the analyses, the VAM-DDM winds, are shown to have smaller error and bias than other CYGNSS wind products.
In the regional case, the VAM-DDM wind vectors are assimilated into the NOAA's operational HWRF model and GSI data assimilation system in an Observation System Experiment (OSE) for Hurricane Michael in 2018. The errors of intensity, track and minimum central pressure are significantly reduced in the 4-day forecast compared to the control.