GH022-06
Lessons Learned From Development And Operationalization Of Climate-Based Dengue Early Warning System In Indonesia

Wednesday, 16 December 2020: 07:25
Virtual
Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan1, Ratna Satyaningsih2, Kurnia Endah Komalasari3, Utoyo Ajie Linarka3, Nurul Tyas Rahmadani3, Mamenun Mamenun3, Agung Fauzi3, Marjuki Marjuki3, Sumiati Sumiati4, Khadijah Azhar5, Nuning Nuraini6 and Edy Soewono6, (1)Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics, Center for Research and Development, Jakarta, Indonesia, (2)Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), Center for Research and Development, Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia, (3)Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics, Jakarta, Indonesia, (4)Jakarta Health Agency, Jakarta, Indonesia, (5)Ministry of Health, Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia, (6)Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, Indonesia
Recorded Presentation
Abstract:
Despite the current attention of public-health concerns are directed towards the Covid-19 pandemic, generally not much has been found in the spotlight for dengue fever worldwide in the recent times. Within the typical period in a year where dengue cases peaked (around 3-4 months in a calendar year), the number of dengue cases and fatalities in Indonesia is in the same order and comparable to confirmed Covid-19 cases and fatalities. This shows the existing threat from dengue which should be continuously mitigated to prevent loss of lives and heavy economic costs on the health system and society.

Numerous studies have shown the seasonality dependence of dengue cases to climate in the tropics and the subtropics area, providing the opportunity to find a relationship in a statistical manner for early warning purposes. A climate-based dengue early warning system has been operationalized for the Jakarta region since early 2019, and a system for the Bali region currently in pre-operational. The system consists of information products of prediction of dengue cases in terms of incidence rate and a climate suitability index up to three months lead time with considerably good skills. The development of these systems involves relevant stakeholders from academia through research activities, and with close engagement with the regional health sector as user and co-owner of the system, reflecting the spirit of the Global Framework for Climate Services. This early warning has assisted the advancement for dengue prevention practices, upgrading the surveillance-based system which was more suitable for immediate response. The early warnings have provided the regional health agencies with sufficient lead time to prepare for actions in the field, as well as community awareness and participation anticipating the incoming dengue season. In this contribution, we will discuss and highlight the lessons learned from developing and operationalization of this climate-based dengue early warning system.

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