A188
Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Prediction, Processes, and Services IV Posters

Tuesday, 15 December 2020: 04:00-20:59
Poster
Primary Convener:  Angel Munoz, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Conveners:  Jessie C Carman, NOAA Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States, Kathleen Pegion, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States and Mark Olsen, NOAA, OAR/WPO, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Primary Liaison:  Angel Munoz, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Chairs:  Mark Olsen, NOAA, OAR/WPO, Silver Spring, MD, United States and Maureen T Brooks, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory, Cambridge, MD, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Angel Munoz, Princeton University, NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (AOS), Princeton, New Jersey; Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
 
Irrigation Scheduling using Probabilistic Simulation Optimization Framework and Farm-scale Ecohydrological Model at Daily Scale Using Weather Forecasts (668963)
Adrija Roy, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering, Mumbai, India, Raghuram G Murtugudde, Univ of MD--ESSIC, College Park, MD, United States, Parag Narvekar, Sensartics Private Limited, Mohadi, Nashik, India and Vilas Shinde, Sahyadri Farms, FPC, Mohadi, Nashik, India
 
Do Forecasts with Significant Error Have Value in Water Leasing Decisions? (738262)
Chen Xu1, Kirti Rajagopalan2,3, Michael Brady4, Jennifer C Adam1 and Mingliang Liu1, (1)Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (2)Washington State University, Biological Systems Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (3)Washington State University, Center for Sustaining Agriculture and Natural Resources, Pullman, WA, United States, (4)Washington State University, School of Economic Sciences, Pullman, WA, United States
 
Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on United Kingdom mortality (727838)
Andrew Charlton-Perez1, W. T. Katty Huang2 and Simon Lee1, (1)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom
 
ARIMA method for development of a monthly rainfall forecasting model in Krishnanagar, West Bengal, India (664229)
Amit Biswas, Research Scholar, Agricultural and Food Engineering, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India
 
Boreal summer subseasonal predictability of rainfall and monsoon onset over Senegal (731526)
Bohar Singh1,2, Andrew William Robertson2, Sylwia Trzaska3, Ousmane Ndiaye4 and Oumar Konté4, (1)Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Columbia University, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Center for International Earth Science Information Network, Palisades, NY, United States, (4)Agence Nationale de l'Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie (ANACIM), Dakar, Senegal
 
Calibrated probabilistic forecasts of user-relevant Arctic sea ice measures on subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales (769540)
Arlan Dirkson, University of Quebec at Montreal UQAM, Montreal, QC, Canada, Bertrand Denis, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada and William J Merryfield, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
 
Coastal Flooding Today, Tomorrow, and the Next Ten Years in East Coast U.S. Cities (713896)
Marybeth Arcodia, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States, Emily J Becker, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Ben P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, FL, United States
 
Enhancing Western United States Sub-Seasonal Forecasts: Forecast Rodeo Prize Competition Series (771887)
Kenneth Nowak, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Research and Development, Denver, CO, United States, Ian M Ferguson, US Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO, United States, Jennifer Beardsley, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, United States and Levi D Brekke, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO, United States
 
Seasonal forecasting of Agroclimatic indices in Mediterranean areas: testing tools for improving predictability (735079)
Jose Maria Costa Saura1,2, Valentina Maria Bacciu3, Valentina Mereu2, Antonio Trabucco1 and Donatella Spano4, (1)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (2)University of Sassari, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (4)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, ARRAY(0x1064cfc8), Italy
 
The provision of seasonal outlooks with and without skill masks (724336)
Andrew King, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, Debra Hudson, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia and Todd P Lane, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
 
Toward Development of Multi-model Subseasonal Probabilistic Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature for West Africa (729874)
Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, Bohar Singh, San Francisco, CA, United States, Andre Kamga Foamouhoue, African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD), Niamey, Niger, Seydou B Traore, AGRHYMET, Niamey, Niger and seydou.traore@cilss.int
 
Using antecedent soil moisture information for accurate prediction of subseasonal-to-seasonal hydroclimate variability over South America (743733)
Divyansh Chug1, Francina Dominguez1, Alice M Grimm2, Stephen W Nesbitt1, Randy J. Chase1 and Rose Miller1, (1)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States, (2)Federal University of Parana (UFPR), Physics, Curitiba, Brazil
 
Challenging model-based forecasts of the sea-ice edge with a spatial probabilistic approach to damped anomaly persistence (776005)
Bimochan Niraula, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany and Helge Goessling, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
 
Development and Evaluation of a Linear Inverse Model for Weeks 3-4 Forecasts of 2-Meter Temperature Over North America (773587)
Sam Lillo1, Matthew Newman2 and John Albers1, (1)CIRES CU-Boulder and NOAA ESRL-PSL, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Improved ENSO prediction and teleconnections from reduction in coupled model bias (768184)
Feiyu Lu1, Anthony John Rosati2, Matt Harrison2, Thomas L Delworth3, Nathaniel Johnson1, Xiaosong Yang4, William Cooke2, Colleen McHugh5, Liwei Jia6, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg7 and Fanrong Jenny Zeng8, (1)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)UCAR, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)Science Applications International Corporation, Reston, VA, United States, (6)Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (7)NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, (8)NOAA Princeton, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Predicting the MJO using interpretable machine-learning models (736860)
Zane Martin, Elizabeth A Barnes and Eric D Maloney, Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States
 
Seasonal Forecasting of Sea Level Anomalies in a Multi-model Prediction Framework (713194)
Xiaoyu LONG1, Matthew J Widlansky2, Mark A Merrifield3, Arun Kumar4, Philip R Thompson5, William Sweet6, H. Annamalai7, John J Marra8, Gary T Mitchum9, Eric W Leuliette10, Claire M Spillman11, Magdalena Balmaseda12, Bohua Huang13, Grant A Smith11, Chul-Su Shin14 and Yoshimitsu Chikamoto15, (1)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, (2)University of Hawaii at Manoa, JIMAR, Honolulu, HI, United States, (3)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (4)NOAA/NCEP, College Park, MD, United States, (5)JIMAR, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, United States, (6)NOAA/NOS, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (7)University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI, United States, (8)NOAA Honolulu, Honolulu, HI, United States, (9)Univ South Florida, College of Marine Science, Saint Petersburg, FL, United States, (10)NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (11)Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (12)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (13)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, (14)Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (15)Utah State University, Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Logan, UT, United States
 
Real-time Forecast Evaluation of ECMWF Atmospheric Model Ensemble Exntended over Germany in 2020 (711886)
Husain Najafi, Luis Samaniego, Oldrich Rakovec, Friedrich Boeing, Matthias Kelbling and Stephan Thober, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
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