GC081
Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution I

Monday, 14 December 2020: 04:00-05:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Chris C Funk, USGS Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center Sioux Falls, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
Conveners:  Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrew Hoell, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Daniel Mitchell, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison:  Chris C Funk, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
Chairs:  Chris C Funk, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD, United States, Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrew Hoell, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Daniel Mitchell, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
OSPA Liaison:  Chris C Funk, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
04:00
Challenges in developing low-likelihood high-warming storylines for climate extremes (733925)
Erich M Fischer1, Clemens Schwingshackl2 and Jana Sillmann2, (1)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Oslo, Norway
04:04
Might Future Heatwaves be Underestimated? (Invited) (737062)
Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9, United Kingdom, Nicolas Freychet, School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Tim Cowan, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia, Daniel Mitchell, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom and Matthew Collins, University of Exeter, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom
04:08
Identifiable signatures of greenhouse gases and particulate atmospheric pollution on the changing hydroclimate (766095)
Celine Bonfils1, Benjamin D Santer1, John Fyfe2, Margot Bador3, Kate Marvel4,5, Stephen Po-Chedley1 and Jiwoo Lee6, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, Canada, (3)Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, (4)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (5)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, (6)Lawence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
04:12
Controlling Factors of Global Heat-Humidity Extremes (771593)
Colin Raymond, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, Erich M Fischer, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, Stephan Fueglistaler, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, Radley M Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States, Catherine Ivanovich, Columbia University of New York, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Palisades, NY, United States, Tom Matthews, University of Loughborough, Geography, Loughborough, United Kingdom, Laura Suarez Gutierrez, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and Yi Zhang, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
04:16
Event attribution frameworks for quantifying climate change impacts on hurricane rainfall (685465)
Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States, Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Alyssa M Stansfield, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Colin M. Zarzycki, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, University Park, PA, United States
04:20
Projected Effects of Climate Change on Simultaneous North American Megafires Based on NA-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations (687152)
Seth A McGinnis1, Harry Richard Podschwit2, Alison Kessenich3, Linda Mearns1 and Alison Cullen4, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (4)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, United States
04:24
Connections of climate change and variability to the 2019/20 Black Summer megafires in southeast Australia (723558)
Nerilie Abram, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Benjamin Henley, University of Melbourne, School of Earth Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Parkville, VIC, Australia, Alexander Sen Gupta, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Tanya Lippmann, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Andrew J Dowdy, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Hamish Clarke, University of Wollongong, Centre for Environmental Risk Management of Bushfires, Wollongong, Australia, Jason Sharples, University of New South Wales, School of Science, Canberra, Australia, Rachael Nolan, Western Sydney University, Richmond, Australia, Tianran Zhang, King's College London, London, United Kingdom, Martin Wooster, King's College London, London, WC2R, United Kingdom, Jennifer B Wurtzel, NSW Department of Primary Industries, Orange, NSW, Australia, Katrin J Meissner, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Andrew John Pitman, University of New South Wales, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Anna Ukkola, The Australian National University, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Brett Murphy, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Australia, Nigel James Tapper, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia and Matthias M Boer, Western Sydney University, Penrith, Australia
04:28
Discussion