NG009
When We Don’t Know Everything: Stochastic Approaches, Mathematical Physics, and Complexity Across the Earth System Sciences II Posters

Wednesday, 16 December 2020: 04:00-20:59
Poster
Primary Convener:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Conveners:  Paul Williams1, Rui A.P. Perdigão2,3 and Julia Hall2, (1)University of Reading, Meteorology, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom(2)Meteoceanics Interdisciplinary Centre for Complex System Science, Vienna, Austria(3)Universidade de Lisboa, CE3C, Faculdade de Ciências, Lisboa, Portugal
Primary Liaison:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  Cecile Penland, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Aneesh Subramanian, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States and Rui A.P. Perdigão, Meteoceanics Interdisciplinary Centre for Complex System Science, Vienna, Austria; Universidade de Lisboa, CE3C, Faculdade de Ciências, Lisboa, Portugal
OSPA Liaison:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in Kilometer-scale Simulations of Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection (736026)
McKenna Stanford, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, Earth Institute, New York City, NY, United States, Adam Varble, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States and Hugh Morrison, NCAR, MMM Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Long-range Forecasting as a Past Value Problem: Correlations and Causality (740251)
Lenin Del Rio Amador, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Shaun Lovejoy, McGill Univ, Montreal, QC, Canada
 
Multiscale Fractal Dimension Analysis of a Low-Order Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model based on Multivariate Empirical Mode Decomposition (684096)
Tommaso Alberti, IAPS-INAF, Rome, Italy, Reik V Donner, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany and Stéphane Vannitsem, Royal Meteorological Institute, Dourbes, Belgium
 
Physical Impacts of Stochastic Perturbed Parameterizations on Microphysical Processes in an Adaptive Habit Model Ensemble: A Case Study of Heavy Rainfall in New York State (672113)
Lauriana Gaudet, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States and Kara J Sulia, Atmospheric Science Research Center, Albany, NY, United States
 
Process-Based Evaluation of Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies on Convective-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of the 1–2 June 2017 Mei-Yu Rainfall Event over Northern Taiwan (751864)
Kevin Michael Lupo, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States, Ryan Torn, University at Albany, State University of New York, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States and Shu-Chih Yang, National Central University, Zhongli, Taiwan
 
Spatiotemporal Causality and Predictability Beyond Recurrence Collapse in Complex Coevolutionary Systems (721649)
Rui A.P. Perdigão1,2 and Julia Hall1, (1)Meteoceanics Interdisciplinary Centre for Complex System Science, Vienna, Austria, (2)Universidade de Lisboa, CE3C, Faculdade de Ciências, Lisboa, Portugal
 
Uncertainty Representation in the NCEP GEFS to Improve Medium Range and Subseasonal Weather Forecasts (671391)
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States, Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States and Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States
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