NG013
When We Don’t Know Everything: Stochastic Approaches, Mathematical Physics, and Complexity Across the Earth System Sciences I

Thursday, 17 December 2020: 05:30-06:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Conveners:  Paul Williams1, Rui A.P. Perdigão2,3 and Julia Hall2, (1)University of Reading, Meteorology, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom(2)Meteoceanics Interdisciplinary Centre for Complex System Science, Vienna, Austria(3)Universidade de Lisboa, CE3C, Faculdade de Ciências, Lisboa, Portugal
Primary Liaison:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  Rui A.P. Perdigão, Universidade de Lisboa, CE3C, Faculdade de Ciências, Lisboa, Portugal; Meteoceanics Interdisciplinary Centre for Complex System Science, Vienna, Austria, Cecile Penland, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States and Aneesh Subramanian, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jih-Wang Aaron Wang, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
05:30
NG013-01
Causality and Information Transfer in Systems with Extreme Events (764252)
Milan Palus, Institute of Computer Science, Czech Academy of Sciences, Department of Complex Systems, Prague 8, Czech Republic
05:34
NG013-02
Energetically Consistent Backscatter Schemes for Atmospheric Models (Invited) (676486)
Christian L. E. Franzke, Jacobs University Bremen, School of Engineering and Science, Bremen, Germany
05:38
NG013-03
Large deviations of temperature over Northern Hemisphere regions (738518)
Vera Melinda Galfi, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany and Valerio Lucarini, University of Reading, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Reading, United Kingdom
05:42
NG013-04
Scale-aware space-time stochastic parameterization of subgrid-scale velocity enhancement of sea surface fluxes (Invited) (664310)
Julie Bessac1, Adam H Monahan2, Nils Weitzel3, Kota Endo2 and Hannah Mary Christensen4, (1)Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, (2)University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, (3)Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany, (4)University of Oxford, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Oxford, United Kingdom
05:46
NG013-05
Beyond Forcing Scenarios: Predicting Climate Change through Response Operators in a Coupled General Circulation Model (669030)
Valerio Lembo, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Valerio Lucarini, University of Reading, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Reading, United Kingdom and Francesco Ragone, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon and CNRS, Lyon, France
05:50
NG013-06
Unified stochastic uncertainty representation in the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS) (675467)
Jian-Wen Bao1, Sara A. Michelson2, Lisa K Bengtsson2, Philip J Pegion2, Jeffrey Whitaker1 and Cecile Penland1, (1)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
05:54
NG013-07
Collision integrals, sea ice thickness distribution and Arctic climatology (749915)
John S. Wettlaufer1,2, Srikanth Toppaladoddi3 and Woosok Moon2, (1)Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States, (2)Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics, Stockholm, Sweden, (3)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
05:58
NG013-08
Improving Solution Accuracy and Convergence for Stochastic Physics Parameterizations with Colored Noise (706978)
Panos Stinis1, Jing Li1, Huan Lei2 and Hui Wan1, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States
06:02
NG013-09
Revisiting the Fractal-Multifractal method in describing geometries of precipitation and temperature: Case of global circulation models outputs (711650)
David Serrano, Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana, Bucaramanga, Bucaramanga, Colombia, Mahesh Lal Maskey, Univ California Davis, Davis, CA, United States; University of California Merced, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Water Systems Management Lab, Merced, CA, United States, Josue Medellin-Azuara, University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, CA, United States, Bellie Sivakumar, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Powai, Department of Civil Engineering, Mumbai, India and Carlos E Puente, University of California Davis, Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States
06:06
NG013-10
Empirical Bifurcation Analysis of Atmospheric Stable Boundary Layer Regime Occupation (678821)
Liz Ramsey and Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
06:10
Questions and Answers
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