A173
Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Prediction, Processes, and Services I

Tuesday, 15 December 2020: 04:00-05:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Angel Munoz, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Conveners:  Jessie C Carman, NOAA Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States, Kathleen Pegion, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States and Mark Olsen, NOAA, OAR/WPO, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Primary Liaison:  Angel Munoz, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Chairs:  Angel Munoz, Princeton University, NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (AOS), Princeton, New Jersey; Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States and Kathleen Pegion, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Angel Munoz, Princeton University, NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (AOS), Princeton, New Jersey; Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
04:00
Can S2S Predictions Improve Disaster Risk Preparedness for the Southeast Asia Region? A Review of June 2020 (Invited) (718133)
Thea Turkington1, Raizan Rahmat1, Ryan Kang1, Keith Paolo Landicho2, Lawrence Anthony Dimailig2, Laura Hendy3, G. Srinivasan4 and Wee Leng Tan1, (1)Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Meteorological Service Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, (2)The AHA Centre, Jakarta, Indonesia, (3)UN ESCAP, Bangkok, Thailand, (4)RIMES, Pathumthani, Thailand
04:06
Applying seasonal forecasts for summer fire weather outlooks in Alaska at a 3-month lead (703951)
Cecilia Borries Strigle1, Uma Suren Bhatt1, Peter Bieniek2, Heidi Strader3, Eric Stevens3, Alison S York4 and Robert Ziel5, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)International Arctic Research Center, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (3)Alaska Interagency Coordination Center, Fairbanks, United States, (4)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Fire Science Consortium, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (5)University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States
04:10
A linear mixed effects model for seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice retreat (707810)
Sean Horvath, University of Colorado at Boulder, Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Boulder, CO, United States, Julienne Stroeve, University College London, Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, London, United Kingdom and Balaji Rajagopalan, University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering and CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
04:14
Using Subseasonal Forecasts to Predict the 2018 Dengue Outbreak in Réunion (669361)
Laurel DiSera1, Henrik Sjödin2, Joacim Rocklöv2, Yesim Tozan3, Bertrand Súdre4, Herve Zeller4 and Angel Munoz1, (1)International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Umeå University, Section of Sustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå, Sweden, (3)New York University, School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, United States, (4)European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden
04:18
A Self-Adaptive Approach to Analyze Weather-within-Climate Rainfall Characteristics (749509)
Carlos Javier Martinez, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Ocean Climate Physics (OCP), Palisades, NY, United States, Angel Munoz, Princeton University, NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (AOS), Princeton, New Jersey; Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States and Lisa M Goddard, International Research Institute for Climate & Society, Palisades, NY, United States
04:22
Subseasonal to Seasonal Potential Predictability of the East Asian Monsoon Onsets (682163)
Lun Dai1, Tat Fan Cheng2 and Mengqian Lu1, (1)Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (2)Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
04:26
Evaluation of Sub-Seasonal Coastal Flooding Forecasts for Extreme Events; Hurricane Isabel and Katrina Case Studies (708017)
Arslaan Khalid1, Celso Ferreira2, Kathleen Pegion2, Natalie Burls3, Julia V Manganello4, Ehsan Erfani5, Tyler Will Miesse2, Sam Thomas5, Jacquelyn Crowell5 and Riley Freeland5, (1)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, (2)George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States, (3)Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States, (4)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Calverton, Calverton, MD, United States, (5)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, United States
04:30
Subseasonal Prediction Skill of the Fall 2019 Southeast U.S. Flash Drought in SubX Models (715066)
Anthony M DeAngelis, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, MD, United States, Siegfried D Schubert, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Randal D Koster, NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Yehui Chang, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Hailan Wang, Climate Prediction Center/NCEP, College Park, MD, United States
04:34
Discussion
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