A160
Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling II

Monday, 14 December 2020: 08:30-09:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Convener:  Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Primary Liaison:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Chairs:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Kevin A Reed, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Kevin A Reed, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
08:30
A160-01
Changes in Future Flash Flood-Producing Storms in the U.S. (Invited) (755452)
Kristen Lani Rasmussen and Erin Dougherty, Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States
08:34
A160-02
The role of elevated terrain and the Gulf of Mexico in the production of severe local storm environments over North America (741052)
Funing LI1, Daniel Robert Chavas1, Kevin A Reed2, Nan A Rosenbloom3 and Daniel Thomas Dawson II4, (1)Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States, (2)Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States, (3)NCAR/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
08:38
A160-03
Comparing Idealized Simulations of Supercell Thunderstorms in Current vs. "Business as Usual" Future Environments (661446)
Casey Davenport, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, United States and Matthew Gropp, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, United States
08:42
A160-04
Reconstructing the U.S. Tornado Climatology: Using Bayesian Modeling to Correct for Under-Reporting and Under-Rating (667030)
Corey Potvin, National Severe Storms Lab, Norman, OK, United States, Chris Broyles, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK, United States, Patrick Skinner, University of Oklahoma and NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK, United States and Harold E Brooks, National Severe Storms Laboratory, NOAA, Norman, OK, United States
08:46
A160-05
Predicting 'outbreak'-level tornado counts and casualties from environmental variables (668046)
Zoe Schroder, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States and James Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
08:50
A160-06
Far future climate (2060-2100) of the northern Adriatic air-sea heat transfers associated with extreme bora events (671638)
Ivica Vilibic, Clea Denamiel and Iva Tojcic, Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries, Split, Croatia
08:54
A160-07
The Increasingly Moisture-Dominated Flavor of US West Coast Atmospheric Rivers (741325)
Katerina R Gonzales1, Daniel L Swain2,3, Elizabeth A Barnes4 and Noah S Diffenbaugh1,5, (1)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (4)Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (5)Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, United States
08:58
Discussion
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