H219
Diagnostics, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Analysis of Earth and Environmental Models I

Thursday, 17 December 2020: 04:00-05:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Juliane Mai, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
Conveners:  Lucy Amanda Marshall, University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States and Saman Razavi, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
Primary Liaison:  Juliane Mai, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
Chairs:  Lucy Amanda Marshall, University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States, Saman Razavi, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada and Juliane Mai, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
OSPA Liaison:  Juliane Mai, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
04:00
A Framework for Practical Factor Fixing Demonstrated with Uncertainty Quantification of a Water Quality Model (692683)
Qian Wang1, Joseph H.A. Guillaume2, John Jakeman3, Baihua Fu2, Frederick R. Bennett4, Barry F.W. Croke5, Tao Yang1 and Anthony John Jakeman2, (1)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (2)Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, (3)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (4)Queensland State Government, Environment and Science, Brisbane, QLD, Australia, (5)Australian National University, Mathematical Sciences Institute; Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre, Canberra, ACT, Australia
04:04
A New Multi-Model Difference-Based Sensitivity Analysis Method to Screen Non-Influential Processes with Process Model and Parametric Uncertainty (709284)
Ming Ye1, Jing Yang1, Xuehang Song2 and Xingyuan Chen2, (1)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
04:08
Can Model Structure Families Be Inferred from Model Output? (672112)
Janneke Remmers, Wageningen University and Research Center, Wageningen, Netherlands, Ryan Teuling, Hydrology Quant. Water Mgnt, Wageningen, Netherlands and Lieke Anna Melsen, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
04:12
Direction of Change: a Simple Approach to Support the Diagnostic Evaluation of Hydrologic Models (697397)
Francesca Pianosi, University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom, Anqi Wang, Hohai University, College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing, China and Thorsten Wagener, University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom
04:16
Examining the uncertainty estimation properties of LSTM based rainfall-runoff models (740341)
Daniel Klotz1, Frederik Kratzert1, Martin Gauch2, Alden Keefe Sampson3, Sepp Hochreiter1 and Grey Stephen Nearing4, (1)Johannes Kepler University, Institute for Machine Learning, Linz, Austria, (2)University of Waterloo, David R. Cheriton School of Computer Science, Waterloo, ON, Canada, (3)Upstream Tech, Alameda, CA, United States, (4)Natel Energy Inc, Upstream Tech, Alameda, CA, United States
04:20
Model Decisions and Model Cultures (680093)
Lieke Anna Melsen, Wageningen University and Research Center, Wageningen, Netherlands
04:24
Probabilistic simulations and predictions of hydrological processes over North America (746423)
Martyn P Clark1, Louise Arnal2, Shervan Gharari3, Wouter Knoben2, Naoki Mizukami4, Guoqiang Tang2, Reza Zolfaghari5, Jim E Freer2, Andrew James Newman6, Bart Nijssen7, Simon Michael Papalexiou8, Raymond Spiteri9, Paul H Whitfield2, Andrew W Wood10, Alain Pietroniro11 and John W Pomeroy12, (1)University of Saskatchewan Coldwater Laboratory, Canmore, Canada, (2)University of Saskatchewan Coldwater Laboratory, Canmore, AB, Canada, (3)University of Saskatchewan, Centre for Hydrology, Saskatoon, Canada, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (6)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States, (8)University of Saskatchewan, Civil, Geological and Environmental Engineering, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (9)Numerical Simulation Lab, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (10)National Center for Atmospheric Research, RAL/Hydrometeorological Applications Program, Boulder, CO, United States, (11)Environment and Climate Change Canada, National Hydrology Research Centre, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (12)University of Saskatchewan, Centre for Hydrology and Global Institute for Water Security, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
04:28
Simultaneous calibration of hydrologic model structure and parameters: a model intercomparison study using MOPEX catchments (685415)
Robert Chlumsky, Juliane Mai, James R Craig and Bryan Tolson, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
04:32
Discussion
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