H185
Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change III

Tuesday, 15 December 2020: 17:30-18:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Manuela Irene Brunner, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
Conveners:  Laurie Huning, University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States, Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States and Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
Primary Liaison:  Manuela Irene Brunner, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  Manuela Irene Brunner, WSL Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Mountain Hydrology and Mass Movements, Birmensdorf, Switzerland and Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Manuela Irene Brunner, WSL Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Mountain Hydrology and Mass Movements, Birmensdorf, Switzerland
17:30
10-year return levels of sub-daily precipitation over Europe and their internal variability (674416)
Benjamin Poschlod1, Ralf Ludwig1 and Jana Sillmann2, (1)Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (2)Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Oslo, Norway
17:34
A Bayesian formulation of the Metastatistical Extreme Value Distribution accounting for rainfall interannual variability (744704)
Marco Marani, University of Padova and Duke University, DICEA and EOS/CEE, Durham, NC, United States, Antonio Canale, University of Padova, Department of Statistical Sciences, Padova, Italy and Enrico Zorzetto, Duke University, Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Durham, NC, United States
17:38
Non-stationary statistical models for extremes: the impact of modelling choices on the description of change (Invited) (667918)
Ilaria Prosdocimi, Ca' Foscari University, Venice, Italy and Thomas R Kjeldsen, University of Bath, Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Bath, United Kingdom
17:42
Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Precipitation based on Weather Types (698281)
Giuseppe Mascaro, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States
17:46
Probabilistic assessment of the practical predictability of extreme wet and dry years in the southwestern US in observed and CMIP6 climates (775086)
Efi Foufoula-Georgiou1, Antonios Mamalakis2, Amir AghaKouchak3 and James Tremper Randerson1, (1)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)University of California Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States, (3)University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States
17:50
Random Fields Simplified: Spatiotemporal simulation preserving extremes using the CoSMoS R package (774899)
Simon Michael Papalexiou, University of Saskatchewan, Civil, Geological and Environmental Engineering, Saskatoon, SK, Canada and Francesco Serinaldi, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, NE1, United Kingdom
17:54
The NFLICS Project: Nowcasting Flood Impacts of Convective Storms in the Sahel (720877)
Seonaid Anderson1, Steven J Cole1, Cheikh Abdoulahat Diop2, Christopher Taylor1, Cornelia Klein1, Moustapha Kamara2 and Malick Diagne3, (1)UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (2)Agence Nationale de l'Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie, Dakar, Senegal, (3)GeoRisk Afric, Dakar, Senegal
17:58
Contrasting changes in the type-dependent river floods over the past 40 years (679853)
Shulei Zhang, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
18:02
Discussion
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