B024
Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models I

Tuesday, 8 December 2020: 10:30-11:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Forrest M. Hoffman, University of Tennessee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Knoxville, TN, United States; Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences & Engineering Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Conveners:  Cheryl S Harrison, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, School of Earth, Environmental and Marine Science, Edinburg, TX, United States and Cheng-En Yang, University of Tennessee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Knoxville, TN, United States
Primary Liaison:  Forrest M. Hoffman, University of Tennessee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Knoxville, TN, United States; Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences & Engineering Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Chairs:  Forrest M. Hoffman1,2, Cheryl S Harrison3 and Cheng-En Yang2, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences & Engineering Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States(2)University of Tennessee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Knoxville, TN, United States(3)University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, School of Earth, Environmental and Marine Science, Edinburg, TX, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Cheryl S Harrison, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, School of Earth, Environmental and Marine Science, Edinburg, TX, United States
10:30
Welcoming Remarks
10:32
B024-01
Benchmarking Earth System Models: Separating model deficiencies from uncertainties in model inputs and observations (679744)
Christian Seiler1, Joe Melton1, Vivek Arora2 and Libo Wang3, (1)Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Processes Section, Victoria, BC, Canada, (2)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, Canada, (3)Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Toronto, ON, Canada
10:36
B024-02
Do carbon cycle models of the terrestrial biosphere need a Revelle factor when simulating carbon storage rates from increasing levels of gross primary production? (Invited) (772940)
James Tremper Randerson1, Jonathan Wang1, Stijn Hantson2, Zheng Shi1, Nicole Hemming-Schroeder1, Yue Li1 and Paul Alexander Levine2,3, (1)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (3)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
10:40
B024-03
ESM-based marine ecosystem prediction in large marine ecosystems of the Indian ocean (679754)
Woojin Jeon, Jeonbuk University, Jeonju, South Korea, Jong-Yeon Park, Chonbuk National University, South Korea, Charles A Stock, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, John P Dunne, NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, United States, Xiaosong Yang, UCAR, Princeton, NJ, United States and Anthony John Rosati, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
10:44
B024-04
Evaluating Terrestrial Biological Nitrogen Fixation in CMIP6 Earth System Models (677635)
Taraka Davies-Barnard, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom, Pierre Friedlingstein, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, Sönke Zaehle, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, Victor Bovkin, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, Yuanchao Fan, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre AS, Bergen, Norway, Rosie Fisher, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Hanna Lee, Norwegian Research Centre (NORCE), Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, Daniele Peano, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy, Benjamin Smith, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden, David Warlind, Lund University, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund, Sweden, Andy Wiltshire, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom and Tilo Ziehn, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, VIC, Australia
10:48
B024-05
How does optimal photosynthetic acclimation affect future carbon and nutrient cycling? (707218)
Nicholas G Smith1, Trevor F Keenan2,3, Qing Zhu2 and William J Riley2, (1)Texas Tech University, Biological Sciences, Lubbock, TX, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (3)University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
10:52
B024-06
Near-term predictions of biogeochemistry in the Community Earth System Model (Invited) (672153)
Nicole S Lovenduski1, Stephen G Yeager2, Riley Xavier Brady3, Kristen M. Krumhardt4, Gordon B Bonan5, Keith T Lindsay6 and Danica L. Lombardozzi5, (1)University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NCAR, Oceanography, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Lausanne, Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, Lausanne, Switzerland, (5)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
10:56
B024-07
Global evaluation of ELM v1 and the role of the phosphorus cycle and non-structural carbon in the historical terrestrial carbon balance (772905)
Xiaojuan Yang, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, Peter E Thornton, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Climate Change Science Institute and Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, Daniel M Ricciuto, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States and Forrest M. Hoffman, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences & Engineering Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
11:00
B024-08
The Effect of Resolution on Vertical Heat and Carbon Transports in a Regional Ocean Circulation Model for the Argentine Basin (704358)
Stan Swierczek1, Matthew R Mazloff2, Matthias Morzfeld3 and Joellen L Russell1, (1)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)SIO, La Jolla, CA, United States, (3)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
11:04
Discussion
11:28
Concluding Remarks
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