Climate Variability Across Scales and Climate States

Session ID#: 121451

Session Description:
  1. Idealized or realistic modeling, synthesis, and model-data comparison.
  2. Characterization of climate dynamics using a variety of techniques (e.g. scaling and multifractal techniques and models, recurrence plots, variance analyses).
  3. Relationship between mean state changes (e.g. glacial to interglacial or pre-industrial to present to future), and higher-order moments of relevant climate variables, including extreme-event occurrence and predictability.
  4. Role of the ocean, atmosphere, cryosphere and land-surface processes in fostering long-term climate variability through linear – or nonlinear – feedbacks and mechanisms.
  5. Attribution of climate variability to internal and/or forced dynamics, including natural (e.g. volcanic and solar) and anthropogenic forcing changes.
  6. Synchronization and pacing of glacial cycles through dynamical interaction of external forcing (e.g. orbital forcing) and internal variability.
  7. Characterization of the probabilities of extremes, including linkage between slow climate variability and extreme event recurrence.
  8. Members of the PAGES working group on Climate Variability Across Scales (CVAS) and others are welcome.
Co-Organized:
  • C - Cryosphere
  • PP - Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology
Index Terms:

0724 Ice cores [CRYOSPHERE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4440 Fractals and multifractals [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
4946 Milankovitch theory [PALEOCEANOGRAPHY]

Primary Convener:  Raphaël Hébert, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Conveners:  Heather Andres, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, NL, Canada, Mathieu Casado, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France and Shaun Lovejoy, McGill Univ, Montreal, QC, Canada
Primary Liaison:  Raphaël Hébert, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
See more of: Nonlinear Geophysics
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