Advanced Methods for Systematic Evaluation and Improvement of Earth System Models
Advanced Methods for Systematic Evaluation and Improvement of Earth System Models
Session ID#: 124657
Session Description:
The latest generation of Earth system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) has improved owing to a combination of increased model resolution and more advanced parameterization of unresolved physical processes, such as those for convection, cloud microphysics, or surface processes. More advanced models may not be synonymous with reduced uncertainty; increasing complexity may be associated with increased uncertainty in model parameters or structural choices. It is crucial that methodologies are developed for systematically improving models to ensure the reliability of climate projections and refinement of climate sensitivity estimates. In this session, we welcome presentations on advances in developing and calibrating models using observations (e.g. satellite, airborne, or ground-based) and/or high-resolution model simulations. Presentations that focus on ESM parameter estimation, autotuning, and emulator/surrogate based tuning, as well as methods that directly address structural errors in models (e.g., using machine learning) or observational uncertainties are welcomed.
Co-Sponsor(s):
- AMS: American Meteorological Society -
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1640 Remote sensing [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3337 Global climate models [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3365 Subgrid-scale (SGS) parameterization [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States
Conveners: Andrew Gettelman, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Gregory Elsaesser, Columbia University/NASA GISS, Dept. of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, NY, United States, Peter Martin Caldwell, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Po-Lun Ma, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Primary Liaison: Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States
See more of: Atmospheric Sciences