Estimating the Risk of Extreme Wind Gusts in Tropical Cyclones Using Idealized Large-Eddy Simulations and a Statistical-Dynamical Model

Daniel P Stern, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, George H Bryan, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorology Division, Boulder, CO, United States, Chia-Ying Lee, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States and James D Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States