Assessing Structural and Parameter-Based Uncertainty in High-Latitude Terrestrial Biosphere Models through combination of Causal Loop Analysis and Ensemble Modeling

Mevenkamp, Hannah

Assessing Structural and Parameter-Based Uncertainty in High-Latitude Terrestrial Biosphere Models through combination of Causal Loop Analysis and Ensemble Modeling

Hannah Mevenkamp¹, Nico Wunderling^2,3, Tobey Carman⁴, Jonathan Friedemann Donges^2,3, Helene Genet⁵, Shawn Serbin⁶, Ricarda Winkelmann^2,7 and Eugenie Susanne Euskirchen⁸, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Arctic Biology, Fairbanks, United States, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (3)Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden, (4)Spatial Ecology Lab, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Anchorage, AK, United States, (5)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Arctic Biology, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (6)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Upton, NY, United States, (7)University of Potsdam, Institute of Physics, Potsdam, Germany, (8)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States