Simulating Lags, Tipping Points and Cross Scale Interactions in Integrated Socio-Environmental Systems: Evaluating the Impacts of Early vs. Delayed Nutrient Reductions under Alternate Hydro-Climatic Scenarios in Missisquoi Bay, 2000-2050

Asim Zia1, Andrew W. Schroth2, Patrick J Clemins3, Panagiotis D. Oikonomou4, Jory S Hecht5, Scott Turnbull3, Brian Beckage3, Jonathan Winter6 and Donna Rizzo7, (1)University of Vermont, Department of Community Development and Applied Economics & Department of Computer Science, Burlington, VT, United States, (2)University of Vermont, Department of Geology, Burlington, VT, United States, (3)University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, United States, (4)University of Vermont, EPSCOR, Burlington, United States, (5)University of Vermont, Vermont EPSCoR, Burlington, VT, United States, (6)Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States, (7)University of Vermont, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Burlington, VT, United States