Using Bayesian Methods to Detect Abrupt Transitions in Transient Holocene Climate Model Simulations
Allison E Lawman1, Carrie Morrill2, Bette L Otto-Bliesner3, Esther C Brady3 and Robert A Tomas4, (1)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, United States, (2)NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States