A Monte Carlo Markov Chain Approach to the Probabilistic Drag Based Model for Coronal Mass Ejection Propagation

Simone Chierichini1,2, Teresa Barata3, Enrico Camporeale4, Dario Del Moro1, Giancarlo De Gasperis1, Robertus Erdelyi2, João Manuel Fernandes5, Raffaello Foldes6,7, Gregoire Francisco1, Luca Giovannelli1, Ronish Mugatwala1,2, Gianluca Napoletano1,8, Ajay Tiwari9 and Jannis Teunissen9, (1)University of Rome Tor Vergata, Physics, Rome, Italy, (2)University of Sheffield, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Sheffield, United Kingdom, (3)University of Coimbra, IA-UC, Faculty of Sciences and Technologies, Coimbra, Portugal, (4)University of Colorado, Boulder, United States, (5)University of Coimbra, CITEUC, Coimbra, Portugal, (6)University of L'Aquila, Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, L'Aquila, Italy, (7)École Centrale de Lyon, Laboratoire de Mécanique des Fluides et Acoustique, Lyon, France, (8)University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy, (9)Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica, Amsterdam, Netherlands