Twenty years of seasonal predictions reveal when, where, and why nutrient concentration standards may be exceeded across the Illinois River Basin

Noah M Schmadel1, Olivia Miller2, David A Saad3, Gregory E. Schwarz4, Dale M Robertson3, Scott Ator5, Andrew Sekellick6, Kenneth Skinner7 and Richard A Smith8, (1)USGS Oregon Water Science Center, Portland, OR, United States, (2)U.S. Geological Survey, Utah Water Science Center, Salt Lake City, United States, (3)USGS Upper Midwest Water Science Center, Middleton, WI, United States, (4)U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, United States, (5)USGS Baltimore, Baltimore, United States, (6)USGS Maryland/Delaware/District of Columbia Water Science Center, Baltimore, MD, United States, (7)U.S. Geological Survey Idaho Water Science Center, Boise, United States, (8)United States Geological Survey (USGS), Reston, United States