SY005
Climate Change Attribution for Societies: Growing Opportunities in Practices, Public Communication, and Operational Deployment

Session ID#: 157754

Session Description:
Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent, increasing scientific and public discourse around the role human-caused climate change plays in extreme, and even day-to-day, weather. Recent development and refinement of climate attribution science brings new opportunities for the scientific community to develop attribution applications and to improve public communication. Attribution science is now mature enough to facilitate regional and global operational attribution applications that enable timely communications with the public, stakeholders, and decisionmakers about the influence of climate change on weather events. This session explores these growing opportunities in climate attribution science and how to effectively communicate decision-relevant results to the public.

We welcome all submissions focused on the communication, development, or application of climate change attribution for societal benefit. These could include new approaches to analyzing extreme weather events, operational systems to deliver timely analyses, and strategies to effectively communicate complex attribution statements to stakeholders, decisionmakers and the public.

Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1964 Real-time and responsive information delivery [INFORMATICS]
4321 Climate impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4334 Disaster risk communication [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Primary Convener:  Daniel M. Gilford, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
Conveners:  Andrew J. Pershing, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States, Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Rachel Steratore, RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Daniel M. Gilford, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Counterfactual Forecasts for Operational Attribution (Invited) (1089456)
Nicholas Leach, University of Oxford, Department of Physics, Oxford, United Kingdom, Antje Weisheimer, University of Oxford, Department of Physics, National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Oxford, United Kingdom and Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
Developing Simple Communication Strategies for Complex Climate Concepts (1125903)
Rachel Steratore, RAND Corporation Santa Monica, Santa Monica, CA, United States and Granger Morgan, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
 
The Influence of Climate Change on the Severe Flooding from Remnants of Hurricane Ida 2021 (1160735)
Xue Li1, Michael F Wehner2, Dave Judi1 and Robert D Hetland3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
 
Climate Change and Extreme Hazard Events: Risk Perceptions, Priorities, and Subjective Attribution (Invited) (1188540)
Ann Bostrom, University of Washington - Seattle, Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy & Governance, Seattle, WA, United States
 
Communicating daily climate change attribution using the Climate Shift Index (1202964)
Andrew J Pershing, Daniel M. Gilford, Bernadette Woods Placky and Ben Strauss, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
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