NH017
ML-Physics Couplings for Downscaling in Natural Hazards and Climate

Session ID#: 158723

Session Description:
Coarse-resolution outcomes of climate models often need to be downscaled to finer spatial or temporal scales to be suitable for regional climate change impact assessment. The downscaling of climate variables is central to numerous applications: hydrological modeling, weather forecasting, energy optimization, natural hazard risk assessment, and mitigation, to name a few. Whereas numerous physical (using regional numerical models) and statistical downscaling methods exist, the fundamental understanding of effective scaling laws and their efficacious computation remains elusive. One community response has been the rapidly emerging interest in coupling learning machines and systems with numerical "physics-based" models to do better than either source alone. A second direction is to discover effective equations of the scaling dynamics, from data and a few detailed simulations, for repeated rapid subsequent use. This session aims to share progress and recent developments in foundational methodology and computational advances that couple learning and physics for tractable and interpretable downscaling with application to natural hazards and climate.
Index Terms:

1942 Machine learning [INFORMATICS]
4307 Methods [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4316 Physical modeling [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4318 Statistical analysis [NATURAL HAZARDS]


Primary Convener:  Anamitra Saha, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science, Cambridge, MA, United States
Conveners:  Sai Ravela, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States and Auroop R Ganguly, Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Boston, MA, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Anamitra Saha, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Dynamic Data-Driven Adversarial Learning with Physics for Downscaling Extreme Rainfall (1105366)
Anamitra Saha, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science, Cambridge, MA, United States and Sai Ravela, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
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Paula Harder1, Qidong Yang2, Venkatesh Ramesh3, Alex Hernandez-Garcia3, Prasanna Sattigeri4, Campbell Watson5, Daniela Szwarcman6 and David Rolnick3, (1)Fraunhofer Institute, Kaiserslautern, Germany, (2)Columbia University of New York City, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, NY, United States, (3)Mila Quebec AI Institute, Montreal, Canada, (4)IBM Research, New York, United States, (5)IBM Research, Yorktown Heights, United States, (6)IBM Research, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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