GC068
Policy-Relevant High-Resolution Regional Earth System Modeling: Development, Evaluation, and Application
Session ID#: 158815
Session Description:
This session focuses on exchanging ideas and progress in regional earth system modeling, data synthesis, and policy-relevant application efforts. Over the past decade or so, regional earth system modeling is a fast emerging and rapidly growing research endeavor. The entire research and stakeholder communities are facing great challenges and opportunities. Challenges exist in understanding physical, chemical, biological, and human processes across multiple spatiotemporal scales and in processing big data from remote sensing, in-situ observations, decision-making, ensemble simulations, and comprehensive modeling output. Interest in the adoption of machine and deep-learning methodologies is also increasing along with the need to store and make data available in readily accessible ways. Currently, we are lacking an adequate understanding of the coupling mechanisms and our projections of future climate/environmental changes for local and regional-scale planning are still at an exploratory stage. As a grand challenge in global change studies, therefore, it is a top priority to develop high-resolution regional earth system models that are capable of producing policy-relevant outputs for regional climate change adaption and mitigation decisions. Communicating these outputs to stakeholders, including decision makers is also an open challenge.
Co-Organized:
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3355 Regional modeling [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
6334 Regional planning [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
6620 Science policy [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
Primary Convener: Zong-Liang Yang, Univ Texas Austin, Austin, United States
Conveners: Dan Fu, Texas A&M University, Department of Oceanography, College Station, TX, United States, Danielle E Touma, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States and Vasco Manuel Mantas, University of Coimbra, Department of Earth Sciences, Coimbra, Portugal
A High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Framework for Projecting Future Change in Historically Impactful Extreme Weather Events (Invited) (Invited) (1048974)
Christina M Patricola1, Emily Bercos-Hickey2, Michael F Wehner3, William A. Gallus Jr4, Flor Vanessa Maciel5, Christine May6, Michael MAK6, Anna Roche7, Olivia Yip8 and Susan Leal9, (1)Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, (3)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (4)Iowa State University, Dept. of Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States, (5)UC Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (6)Pathways Climate Institute, San Francisco, United States, (7)San Francisco Public Utilities Commission, San Francisco, United States, (8)San Jose State University, San Jose, United States, (9)Urban Water Works, San Francisco, United States
Evaluating future changes in electricity demand over the southeastern United States using a set of high-resolution climate projections (Invited) (1049617)
Deeksha Rastogi1, Flavio Lehner2, Teja Kuruganti3, Katherine J Evans4, Kuldeep Kurte4 and Jibonananda Sanyal5, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (5)National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, United States
Geo-Soft-CoRe: a Geoscientific Software & Code Repository setting the path for a Digital Twin of the Earth System (1086329)
Irene DeFelipe1, Juan Alcalde2, Isabel Bernal3, Ramon Carbonell2, Arnau Folch2, Daniel Garcia-Castellanos2, Adelina Geyer2, Ivone Jiménez-Munt2 and Martin Schimmel2, (1)University of Salamanca, Geology, Salamanca, Spain, (2)Geosciences Barcelona, GEO3BCN-CSIC, Barcelona, Spain, (3)CSIC, Madrid, Spain
Ocean Model Downscaling with Regional Data Assimilation: A Reanalysis of Circulation in the Coastal Ocean and Adjacent Deep Sea of the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf (1091328)
John Wilkin1, Julia Levin1, Hernan Arango1 and Andrew M Moore2, (1)Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States
Sensitivity of Chesapeake Bay Hypoxia to Physical Forcings: A Regional Earth System Modeling Perspective (1107313)
Pierre St-Laurent, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA, United States, Marjorie A. M. Friedrichs, Virginia Inst Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA, United States, Raymond Najjar, The Pennsylvania State University, Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, University Park, PA, United States and John Wilkin, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Investigating global warming and future urbanization impacts on heat stress in megacities- a multi-scale modeling approach (1172985)
Francis Chi Yung Tam, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Earth System Science, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Tobi Morakinyo, University College Dublin, School of Geography, Dublin, Ireland, Gerald Mills, University College Dublin, Geography Dept, Dublin, Ireland, Ziqian Wang, Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Guangzhou, China, Chenxi Hu, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Earth and atmosphere sciences, Hong Kong, Hong Kong and Renguang Wu, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
A Physical–Biogeochemical Model of Delaware Bay for Climate Applications (1178478)
Raymond Najjar1, Maria Herrmann2, John Wilkin3, Alexander Gordon Lopez3, Pierre St-Laurent4 and Marjorie A. M. Friedrichs5, (1)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States, (2)The Pennsylvania State University, Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, University Park, PA, United States, (3)Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (4)Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA, United States, (5)Virginia Inst Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA, United States
Dynamically downscaled simulations of historical and future trends in carbon variables on the Northeast US Continental shelf (1202736)
Samantha A Siedlecki, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States, Enrique Curchitser, Rutgers University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Charles A Stock, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, Michael A Alexander, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Science Division, Boulder, United States, Shannon Meseck, NOAA Fisheries - Milford, Milford, CT, United States, Lisa L. Colburn, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Narragansett, RI, United States, Felipe Soares, PROOCEANO, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, Hung Nguyen, University of Connecticut, Groton, United States, Joseph Salisbury II, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States and Halle Berger, University of Connecticut, Marine Sciences, Groton, CT, United States
Temporal trends and causes of deoxygenation: a comparison of NorthwestAtlantic shelf and Atlantic basin (1202859)
Hung Nguyen1, Samantha Siedlecki1, Enrique Curchitser2, Charles A Stock3, Felipe Soares4, Cesar Rocha1 and Zhuomin Chen1, (1)University of Connecticut, Groton, United States, (2)Rutgers University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (3)NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)University of Connecticut, Marine Sciences, Groton, United States