GC061
MultiSector Dynamics: Modeling Advances for Representing Adaptive Human Systems Response to Change

Session ID#: 159069

Session Description:
The representation of human action in MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) models is often highly abstracted and simplistic. For example, many integrated energy-water-land models often assume human resource demands that are fixed relative to exogenous drivers such as population or technology input and that are uniform across demographic characteristics. Additionally, MSD models tend to ignore or largely abstract institutional dynamics in resource systems, commonly adopting rules that implicitly presume centralized, non-adaptive management of resources and infrastructure. The session seeks to address these limitations in MSD modeling, highlighting state-of-the-art modeling approaches that can improve representation of human adaptation, ranging from individual consumer decisions to widescale societal transformations. We broadly invite submissions across disciplinary and methodological modeling approaches (e.g., agent-based, economic, optimization, AI/ML, etc.) and domains (water, energy, transport, etc.), illustrating the diversity of approaches to represent adaptive human actions that can be applied to MSD research on coupled human-natural system dynamics.
Index Terms:

1632 Land cover change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1974 Social networks [INFORMATICS]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
6319 Institutions [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]


Primary Convener:  Jim Yoon, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Earth Systems Predictability and Resiliency, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners:  Patricia Romero-Lankao, National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden, Golden, United States, Evelina Trutnevyte, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland and Christian J. A. Klassert, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Economics, Leipzig, Germany
 
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Siwa Msangi1,2, Ying Zhang1,2 and Stephanie Waldhoff2,3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
 
On the Importance of Forecast Skill and Water Trade in Drought Mitigation (1127468)
Hannah Kamen1, Jared Carbone1, Ben Livneh2, Eric E Small3, Parthkumar Modi4, Cam Wobus5 and Bill Szafranski6, (1)Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business, Golden, CO, United States, (2)Western Water Assessment, CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Geological Sciences, Boulder, United States, (4)University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)CK Blueshift, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)Lynker Technologies, Boulder, CO, United States
 
An Evolutionary, System-of-Systems Approach to Societal Challenges of the Anthropocene (1156227)
John C Little, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Blacksburg, VA, United States
 
Risk Information Contamination from Levees as an Explanation of the Levee Effect (1157857)
Parin Bhaduri1, James Yoon2, Heng Wan3, Brent Daniel3, Dave Judi4 and Vivek Srikrishnan5, (1)Cornell University, Biological and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Earth Systems Predictability and Resiliency, Richland, WA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (5)Cornell University, Biological & Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
 
Urban Rural Building Network and Land Morphology Connection (URBN-LMC) (1169414)
Jillian Paige Sturtevant, Baylor University, Waco, TX, United States and Ryan McManamay, Baylor University, Environmental Science, Waco, TX, United States