SA019
Space Weather Challenges in Ionosphere/Thermosphere/Mesosphere Science
Session ID#: 159632
Session Description:
The next Heliophysics Decadal Survey begins in 2022: what are the needs for ITM space weather community? We solicit talks that address the challenges facing the modeling as well as the ground- and space-based measurement communities in understanding the variability of the ITM system and forecasting/nowcasting the state of the system. The ITM shows significant variability during both disturbed and âquietâ times. We invite your analyses of the sources of variability and the variability itself (storms, waves, tides, TIDs, bubbles, scintillation, etc.), differences between models (e.g., first principles, empirical) and observations, and challenges such as representing gravity wave propagation, ion-neutral coupling, cross-scale coupling, high-latitude conductivity, etc. Specific questions to address include: what are the limiting factors to our ability to forecast the I/T region and what are the current modelsâ capabilities and limitations especially in terms of terrestrial sources (e.g., earthquakes, cyclones, volcanic eruptions, etc.)?
Co-Organized:
Index Terms:
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7949 Ionospheric storms [SPACE WEATHER]
7954 Magnetic storms [SPACE WEATHER]
7969 Satellite drag [SPACE WEATHER]
Primary Convener: Yongliang Zhang, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
Conveners: Larry J Paxton, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, Yue Deng, University of Texas Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, Rebecca L Bishop, The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA, United States and William H Swartz, Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States
Modeling and observation of primary and higher-order gravity waves from the wintertime polar vortex (Invited) (1054872)
Sharon Vadas, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO, United States, Erich Becker, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, United States, Larisa P Goncharenko, MIT, Pepperell, United States, Katrina Bossert, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States, Gerd Baumgarten, Leibniz Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Kühlungsborn, Germany and Lars Hoffmann, Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Jülich Supercomputing Center, Jülich, Germany
Use of FUV emissions to trace thermospheric dynamics: O/N2 and NO (1059656)
Yongliang Zhang1, Larry J Paxton2, Robert K Schaefer3, Wenbin Wang4, Chaosong Huang5, Qian Wu6, Dong Lin7 and Liying Qian4, (1)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States, (2)The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (3)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (5)Air Force Research Laboratory, Albuquerque, United States, (6)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)NCAR, Boulder, United States
Improving Space Weather Nowcast and Forecast capabilities using the real-time high-resolution UNAVCO GPS TEC observations. (1059926)
Patrick Dandenault1, Tzu-Wei Fang2, Dominic J. Fuller-Rowell3, Cathryn N Mitchell4, Robert K Schaefer5, Lisa Knowles5 and David Mencin6, (1)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, United States, (3)University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom, (5)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, (6)UNAVCO, Inc., Boulder, United States
NICEcube: The Nitric oxide Infrared Cooling Emissions Cubesat (1071978)
Martin G Mlynczak1, Deron K Scott2, Roy W Esplin2, Andrew Peterson3, Kenny Squire4, Zakk Rhodes4, Cindy Young1, Charles Anthony Hill1 and W. Kent Tobiska5, (1)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)Space Dynamics Laboratory, North Logan, UT, United States, (3)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, United States, (4)Space Dynamics Laboratory, Logan, United States, (5)Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA, United States
Supporting Space Weather with the Geospace Dynamics Constellation (1072687)
Katherine Garcia-Sage1, Douglas E. Rowland2, Larry Kepko3, Jeffrey P Thayer4, Rebecca L Bishop5, Yue Deng6, Robert M Robinson7, Laila Andersson8, Mehdi Benna2, Daniel J Gershman9 and Geospace Dynamics Constellation Science Team, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)University of Colorado at Boulder, Smead Aerospace Engineering Sciences, Boulder, United States, (5)The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (6)University of Texas Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, (7)NASA Goddard, Catholic University of America, Washington DC, DC, United States, (8)Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States, (9)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
Response of meteor plasma trails observed by meteor radar to geomagnetic activity (1084731)
Hosik Kam1, Young-Sil Kwak2,3, Jeong-Heon Kim4, Junseok Hong5, Yongha Kim4, Jeong-han Kim6 and Changsup Lee7, (1)KASI Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, Daejeon, South Korea, (2)KASI Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, Daejeon, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)University of Science and Technology, Daejeon, South Korea, (4)Chungnam National University, Daejeon, South Korea, (5)Chungnam National University, Astronomy and Space Science, Daejeon, South Korea, (6)Korea Polar Research Institute, Division of Polar Climate Sciences, Incheon, South Korea, (7)Korea Polar Research Institute, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Incheon, South Korea
A High-Fidelity Approach for Physics-Based Modeling of the Ionosphere-Thermosphere System (1096631)
Jordi Vila-Perez1, Ngoc Cuong Nguyen2 and Jaime Peraire2, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
Matrix Auto-regressive Model for Forecasting Total Electron Content Maps with Applications to the VISTA TEC Database (1099456)
Hu Sun, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Zihan Wang, Peking University, Beijing, China, Shasha Zou, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Zuofeng Shang, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, United States and Yang Chen, University of Michigan, Department of Statistics, Ann Arbor, United States
Unexpected variations of the hydrogen in the upper thermosphere revealed by TIMED/GUVI: An important challenge in the ITM science (1102668)
Changan Wan, Peking University, Beijing, Beijing, CHINA, Jianqi Qin, Peking University, Beijing, China and Larry J Paxton, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States
Real-Time Operational Measurements of the Thermospheric State: Recent Advances and Future Possibilities (1106791)
Edward Thiemann1, Robert Henry Alexander Sewell2, Marie Dominique3, Marcin Pilinski1, Eric K Sutton4, Courtney L Peck5 and Daniel B Seaton6, (1)Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado at Boulder, LASP, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium, (4)University of Colorado at Boulder, Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center, Boulder, United States, (5)NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, United States, (6)Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, United States
Enhanced Visualization using Kamodo for CCMC ITM Instant Runs (1109702)
Darren De Zeeuw1, Mark M. Moussa1, Rebecca A Ringuette2, Lutz Rastaetter1, Rita Owens3 and Chiu Wiegand1, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)ADNET Systems Inc. Bethesda, Bethesda, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, United States
High-Resolution Poynting Flux Statistics from the Swarm Mission: What are we missing? (1115698)
Daniel Billett1, Ivan P Pakhotin2, Kathryn A McWilliams1, Johnathan K Burchill3, David J Knudsen3 and Carley Martin4, (1)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (2)University of Calgary, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Calgary, AB, Canada, (3)University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada, (4)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada
Developing 3-D ionospheric specification with a new TEC-based ionospheric data assimilation system (TIDAS) (1138302)
Ercha Aa1, Shunrong Zhang1, Wenbin Wang2, Phillip Erickson1 and Anthea Coster3, (1)MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (3)MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA, United States
Lower Thermospheric Response to Geophysical Conditions Using GOLD Observations (1183575)
Katelynn Greer, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, United States, Richard Eastes, University of Colorado at Boulder, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States, Jerry D Lumpe, Computational Physics, Inc., Boulder, CO, United States, J. Scott Evans, Computational Physics, Inc., Springfield, VA, United States and Scott England, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Aerospace and Ocean Engineering, Blacksburg, VA, United States
Daytime E-region Disturbance Winds – Observations vs. Simulations (1197908)
Thomas J Immel1, Lily Oglesby2, Brian J Harding2, Yen-Jung Wu1, Colin Charles Triplett3 and Roderick A Heelis4, (1)University of California Berkeley, Space Sciences Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)University of California, Berkeley, Space Sciences Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, (3)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States, (4)University Texas Dallas, Richardson, TX, United States
