SM002
Advancing Space Weather Research and Mission Development: OSSEs, OSEs and Related Methods
Session ID#: 160057
Session Description:
The effective utilization of data in space weather models is essential for advancing our scientific understanding, for developing and validating specification and forecast models, and for prioritizing future observing system procurements. In recent years, new powerful numerical simulation methods that leverage high-resolution observations have been increasingly used in atmospheric and oceanic research, as well as for space physics. The most sophisticated of these rely on data assimilation: numerical simulations are increasingly being applied to conduct Observing System Experiments (OSEs), which quantify the impact of existing observing systems on model accuracy, and Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs), which assess the potential value of a new observing system when actual observational data are not available. More basic alternatives to OSSEs/OSEs include sensitivity studies used to measure the response of a model to perturbations and evaluate the forecast-error growth. All of these methods are accelerating the integration of in-situ and remote-sensing data in numerical models and the improvement of boundary conditions. They are also becoming an important tool in mission planning, since they can be used to optimize orbital and instrument options that parameterize the synthetic data used in assimilation. Such studies have been initiated recently for ionospheric/thermospheric and radiation-belt models. They are also being developed for other regions of the terrestrial and space environment. We invite abstracts that discuss the development of OSSEs/OSEs and related methods in ionospheric/thermospheric, magnetospheric, and heliospheric systems.
Index Terms:
1910 Data assimilation, integration and fusion [INFORMATICS]
2447 Modeling and forecasting [IONOSPHERE]
2753 Numerical modeling [MAGNETOSPHERIC PHYSICS]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
Primary Convener: Dimitris Vassiliadis, NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Conveners: Terrance G Onsager, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, Katherine Garcia-Sage, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Yuri Shprits, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Make your own OSSEs with the Advanced Ionospheric Data Assimilation (AIDA) Model (1073206)
Sean Elvidge, University of Birmingham, SERENE, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom, David Themens, University of Birmingham, SERENE, Birmingham, United Kingdom and Benjamin Reid, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB, Canada
Ionospheric Data Assimilation of Ultraviolet Photometer Data for the Coordinated Ionospheric CubeSat Experiment (CIRCE) (1092276)
Victoriya Forsythe, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Space Science, Washington, United States, Bruce A Fritz, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, United States and Kenneth Dymond, U.S. Naval Reseach Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States
Developing the Next Generation Space Weather Modeling Framework: Year 2 (1095572)
Gabor Toth1, Yang Chen2, Xun Huan3, Bart van der Holst4, Shasha Zou4, Ward Manchester4, Nishtha Sachdeva4, Zhenguang Huang5, Aniket Jivani3, Yifu An6, Hongfan Chen3 and Daniel Iong5, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Department of Statistics, Ann Arbor, United States, (3)University of Michigan, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States, (4)University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (5)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (6)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States
Assessing the Impact of Assimilating Ionosphere-Thermosphere Observations on Analysis and Short-term Forecasts (Invited) (1095944)
Nicholas M Pedatella, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Jeffrey L Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, United States, Chih-Ting Hsu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and Fazlul I Laskar, University of Colorado at Boulder, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States
Kamodo’s Satellite Constellation Mission Planning Tool (1096975)
Rebecca Ringuette1,2, Lutz Rastaetter3, Darren De Zeeuw1, Katherine Garcia-Sage3, Robert M Robinson4 and Oliver Gerland5, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States, (2)ADNET Systems Inc. Greenbelt, Greenbelt, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)NASA Goddard, Catholic University of America, Washington DC, DC, United States, (5)Ensemble Government Services, Hyattsville, United States
Observing 2-D ionospheric outflow: a comprehensive view of satellite constellation configuration informed by reconstruction accuracy (1107282)
Michael Warren Liemohn1, Daniel T. Welling2, Joshua G. Adam1, Natalia Y Ganushkina3, Jörg-Micha Jahn4 and Raluca Ilie5, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States, (3)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, United States, (5)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Electrical and Computer Engineering, Urbana, United States
Utilization of simulations in space weather research and mission development (1108121)
Michael James Wiltberger, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Eric Winter, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, Elena Provornikova, Catholic University of America, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Kareem Sorathia, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States and Viacheslav G Merkin, The Johns Hopkins University, APL, Laurel, United States
The ionospheric conductivity distribution of the global MHD simulation code determined by the data assimilation (1139231)
Shigeru Fujita1, Shinya Nakano2, Akira Kadokura3, Yoshimasa Tanaka3, Kataoka Ryuho4, Aoi Nakamizo5, Keisuke Hosokawa6 and Satoko Saita7, (1)Joint Support-Center for Data Science Research, Research Organization of Information and Systems, Tachikawa, Japan, (2)The Inst of Statistical Math, Tachikawa, Japan, (3)National Institute Polar Research, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, (4)NIPR National Institute of Polar Research, Tokyo, Japan, (5)National Institute of Information and Communications Technology (NICT), Tokyo, Japan, (6)Univ Electro-Communications, Chofu, Japan, (7)National Institute of Technology, Kitakyushu College, Kitakyushu, Japan
Impact of assimilating GOLD Temperature and O/N2 Observations in WACCMX+DART (1152967)
Fazlul I Laskar, LASP/University of Colorado, Boulder, United States, Nicholas M Pedatella, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Mihail Codrescu, SWPC/NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, Richard Eastes, University of Colorado at Boulder, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States and William E McClintock, University of Colorado, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States
The Electrojet Zeeman Imaging Explorer mission OSSE (1154468)
Rafael Luiz Araujo de Mesquita1, Jeng-Hwa Yee1, Jesper W Gjerloev1, Nelli Mosavi2, Viacheslav G Merkin1, Astrid I Maute3, Kareem Sorathia1, Karl Laundal4 and Michael Madelaire4, (1)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, (3)NCAR/HAO, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Bergen, Department of Physics and Technology, Birkeland Centre for Space Science, Bergen, Norway
An OSSE Using the VERB Code for Outer Electron Radiation Belt Situational Awareness (1165464)
Quintin Schiller, Madison, WI, UNITED STATES, Yuri Shprits, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany, Alexander Drozdov, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Dmitri A Kondrashov, University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. Sci, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Kirill Strounine, Space Sciences Innovations, New York, United States
Evaluating Radio Occultation Constellation Designs using Observing System Simulation Experiments: Data Impact of Electron Density Profiles on Ionospheric Specification (1165857)
Nicholas Dietrich1, Tomoko Matsuo2, Chi-Yen Lin3, Charles C. H. Lin4, Tzu-Wei Fang5 and Brandon Dilorenzo1, (1)University of Colorado at Boulder, Aerospace Engineering Sciences, Boulder, United States, (2)University of Colorado Boulder, Aerospace Engineering Sciences, Boulder, United States, (3)Center for Astronautical Physics and Engineering, National Central University, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, (4)National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan, (5)NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, United States
Extending the Earth Observing System Capability into the ITM: OSSEs in the Whole Atmosphere Models (1182207)
Valery A Yudin1, Ruth Segal Lieberman2, Douglas E. Rowland2, Jia Yue3, Timothy J Fuller-Rowell4, Tzu-Wei Fang5, Svetlana I. Karol4 and Larisa P Goncharenko6, (1)Catholic University of America, Washington, DC, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)Hampton University, Hampton, VA, United States, (4)Univ of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, United States, (6)MIT, Pepperell, United States