A064
Improving Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictions Through ESMF-NUOPC Coupled Modeling

Session ID#: 161207

Session Description:
At subseasonal timescales and longer, two-way interactions between earth components such as ocean, atmosphere, land, and cryosphere become increasingly important for skillful weather-related predictions.  The Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) is a high-performance, flexible software infrastructure for building and coupling weather, climate, and related Earth science applications. The ESMF defines an architecture for composing complex, coupled modeling systems and includes data structures and utilities for developing individual models. The National Unified Operational Prediction Capability (NUOPC) Layer defines conventions and templates for using ESMF. The ESMF-NUOPC tool allows more seamless experimentation and accelerated transition to operations of coupled Earth system modeling by enabling the mixing of operational and experimental model components. Presentations on the current and future use, and potential for innovation with ESMF-NUOPC at all time scales are welcomed. Additionally, studies of increases to prediction skill over subseasonal to seasonal and other time scales benefiting from coupled model architecture are particularly desired.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • AMS: American Meteorological Society -
Index Terms:

0545 Modeling [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
3322 Land/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3364 Synoptic-scale meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]


Primary Convener:  Mark A Olsen, NOAA, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research/Weather Program Office, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Conveners:  Avichal Mehra, National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States, Neil P Barton, US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States and Jessie Carmen, NOAA, Weather Program Office, Washington DC, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Christine Bassett, FedWriters/NOAA, NOAA/OAR/Weather Program Office, Silver Spring, MD, United States
 
Development of UFS-based Future Subseasonal to Seasonal Applications at NWS/NCEP (1071548)
Avichal Mehra, National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States, Jessica Meixner, National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, Lydia B Stefanova, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States, Fanglin Yang, NOAA NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, Arun Chawla, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States and Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States
 
The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability Version 2 Ensemble Forecast System (1108269)
Clark David Rowley1, William Crawford2, Carolyn A. Reynolds2, Richard Arthur Allard1, Charlie N. Barron1, Maria K. Flatau2, David A Hebert1, Gregg Arthur Jacobs1, Matthew Janiga2, Tommy G Jensen1, David Kuhl3, Robert S Linzell4, Fei Liu5, Justin McLay2, E. Joseph Metzger1, Stephanie Rushley6, James A Ridout2, Rogers Erick1, Jay F Shriver1, Ole Martin Smedstad4, Prasad G Thoppil1, Tamara L Townsend1 and Timothy Whitcomb2, (1)US Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, (3)U.S. Naval Research Lab, Remote Sensing Division, Washington, DC, United States, (4)Peraton, Inc., Herndon, United States, (5)Science Applications International Corporation, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)National Research Council, Monterey, CA, United States
 
Sea Ice Prediction Network: Lessons Learned and Next Steps (1172346)
Uma Suren Bhatt, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States and The Sea Ice Prediction Network Team
See more of: Atmospheric Sciences