Christopher C Chapman¹, Mary-Anne Lea², Amelie Meyer^3,4, Jean-baptiste Sallee⁵ and Mark Hindell³, (1)CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (2)University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (4)University of Tasmania, Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (5)Sorbonne Université, LOCEAN‐IPSL, CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France