Claire M Spillman¹, Grant A Smith¹, Alistair J Hobday², Jason R Hartog³, Catherine de Burgh-Day¹ and J Paige Eveson⁴, (1)Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (2)CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (4)CSIRO, Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia