Partitioning uncertainty in the projection of coral collapse using Large Ensembles of multiple Earth System Models

Sarah Schlunegger1, Keith B Rodgers2, Jorge L Sarmiento3, Thomas L Froelicher4,5, John P Dunne6, Tatiana Ilyina7, Yohei Takano7, James R Christian8, Matthew C Long9, Richard Slater1 and Nicole Rinaldi10, (1)Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, (3)Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Universtity of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland, (5)Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, (6)NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, United States, (7)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (8)Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada, (9)National Center for Atm Res, Boulder, CO, United States, (10)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States