Catherine Berridge, University of York, York, United Kingdom, Oliver Andrews, University of York, Department of Environment and Geography, York, United Kingdom, Alex Arnold, Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, Segolene Berthou, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, Bryony Townhill, Center for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, United Kingdom and Alessandro Tagliabue, University of Liverpool, Department of Earth, Ocean and Ecological Sciences, Liverpool, United Kingdom