Jonathan Izett¹, Natasha Ridenour², Neil C Swart², Elise Olson², Nicolas Lambert³, James Christian^4,5 and William J Merryfield³, (1)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Suite 200, 2474 Arbutus Rd, Victoria, BC V8N 1V8, Canada., Victoria, CANADA, (2)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada, (3)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, Canada, (4)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada, Victoria, Canada, (5)Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO), Sidney, BC, Canada