Jenna Israel¹, Eli Ateljevich², Daniel R Cayan³, Sam Iacobellis³ and Laurel Larsen^4,5, (1)University of California Berkeley, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)California Department of Water Resources, Bay-Delta Office, Sacramento, United States, (3)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (4)University of California, Department of Geography, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, United States, (5)Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden