Stephy Libera¹, Hugues Goosse², Ting-Chen Chen¹, Dian Putrasahan³, Malcolm J Roberts⁴, Rohit Ghosh^5,6 and Jin-Song von Storch⁷, (1)Université catholique de Louvain, Earth and Life Institute, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, (2)Université Catholique de Louvain, Earth and Life Institute, Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium, (3)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Climate Dynamics, Hamburg, Germany, (4)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (5)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, The Ocean in the Earth System, Hamburg, Germany, (6)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (7)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Climate Variability, Hamburg, Germany