CC009
Dynamic Coastlines amidst Changing Sea Levels: Advancements in Understanding the Impacts of Climate Change on Coastal Hazards

Session ID#: 254130

Session Description:
Changes along our coastlines threaten growing populations, economic resources, infrastructure investments, and natural ecosystem functioning. Coastal communities and environments are subject to hazards such as sea-level rise, tropical cyclones and other coastal storms, tsunamis, earthquakes, erosion, and subsidence, most of which are further exacerbated by climate change. To mitigate and adapt to the combined effects of climate change and coastal hazards, a thorough understanding of these hazards – including records of how they have changed through time and projections extending into the future – is essential. We welcome abstracts that assess past, document present, or project future coastal change utilizing methods ranging from observational to field to remote sensing to numerical and statistical modeling techniques. Relevant topics could include coastal studies over various spatiotemporal scales covering topics such as changing sea level, tropical cyclones or other coastal storms (including storm surge flooding), earthquakes and tsunamis, or ecosystem function.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • Coastal and Estuarine Hydrodynamics and Sediment Processes -
  • Human-Ocean Connections -
  • Organic and Inorganic Chemical Tracers in Modern and Paleoenvironments -
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1641 Sea level change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3022 Marine sediments: processes and transport [MARINE GEOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Chair:  Andra Jenn Garner, Rowan University, Department of Environmental Science, Glassboro, NJ, United States
Co-chairs:  Dr. Isabel Hong, Central Washington University, Ellensburg, United States and Jennifer Sue Walker, Rowan University, Department of Environmental Science, Glassboro, United States
 
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Elizabeth Angell and Amanda Hoffman-Hall, Eckerd College, St. Petersburg, FL, United States
 
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Erica Terese Krueger1,2, Quentin G Crowley2,3, Mary Bourke1, Stephen Waldren2,4, Abbie Nugent1 and Iris Moeller1, (1)Trinity College Dublin, Geography, Dublin, Ireland, (2)Trinity College Dublin, Centre for the Environment, Dublin, Ireland, (3)Trinity College Dublin, Geology, Dublin, Ireland, (4)Trinity College Dublin, Botany and Botanic Garden, Dublin, Ireland
 
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Dr. MyeongHee Max Han, Phd, Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology (KIOST), Marine Natural Disaster Research Department, Busan, South Korea and Hak Soo Lim, Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology, Marine Natural Disaster Research Department, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
 
A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Model for Extreme Sea-Level Prediction in Ireland (2012265)
Niamh Cahill, Maynooth University, Mathematics and Statistics, Kildare, Ireland and Fernando Mayer, Maynooth University, Kildare, Ireland
 
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Mackenzie Weaver, University of Pennsylvania, Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, PA, United States, Andra Jenn Garner, Rowan University, Department of Environmental Science, Glassboro, NJ, United States, Annabelle Horton, University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, PA, United States, Shannon Christiansen, University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, United States and Michael E Mann, University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science; Penn Center for Science, Sustainability, and the Media, Philadelphia, United States
 
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Aimee Slangen1, Matthew D Palmer2, Carolina Camargo3, John Church4, Tamsin Louisa Edwards5, Tim Hermans6, Helene Hewitt7, Gregory Garner8, Jonathan M Gregory9, Robert Kobb10, Víctor Malagón-Santos11, Roderik van de Wal12, Marjolijn Haasnoot13, Gundula Winter13 and H2020 PROTECT consortium, (1)Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Den Burg, Netherlands, (2)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (4)University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (5)King's College London, London, United Kingdom, (6)Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, (7)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (8)Institute of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States, (9)Met Office Hadley Centre and National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (10)Rutgers University, Piscataway, United States, (11)NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, Netherlands, (12)Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands, (13)Deltares, Delft, Netherlands
 
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Christopher G Piecuch, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Alfredo Aretxabaleta, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Hannah Elizabeth Baranes, Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Climate Center, Portland, United States, Dr. Carolina Camargo, NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department Estuarine and Delta Systems, Netherlands, Roger Creel, Texas A& M University, Geology and Geophysics, College Station, United States, Neil K Ganju, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole, United States, Julia Guimond, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Applied Ocean Physics and Engineering, Woods Hole, United States, Andrew Kemp, Tufts University, Department of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Medford, United States, Christopher M Little, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, United States, Philip M Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental & Ocean Engineering, Union City, NJ, United States, Phoenix Susak, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Geosciences, Amherst, United States and Jonathan D Woodruff, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences, Amherst, United States
 
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Matthew D Palmer, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom; Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, James Savage, Fathom, Bristol, Bristol, UNITED KINGDOM, Paul D Bates, University of Bristol, School Of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom and Jeffrey C Neal, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom
 
Future Storm Surge Risk in the German Bight (2023059)
Laura Schaffer1,2, Johanna Baehr1 and Tim Kruschke3, (1)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (2)Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH), Hamburg, Germany, (3)BSH Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency, Hamburg, Germany
 
Future Changes in the Annual Sea-Level Cycle and Their Implications (2025468)
Dr. Tim Hermans, PhD, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, Julius Johannes Marian Busecke, LDEO/Columbia University, NYC, United States, Roderik van de Wal, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands, Greg Fivash, Ecosphere, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium, Antwerp, Belgium and Jim van Belzen, NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, Netherlands
 
Near-term future sea-level projections supported by extrapolation of tide-gauge observations (2025753)
Jinping WANG1, Xuebin Zhang2, John Church3, Matt A King4 and Xianyao Chen1, (1)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (2)CSIRO, Oceans & Atmosphere, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (4)University of Tasmania, Surveying and Spatial Sciences, School of Technology, Environments and Design, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
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Patrick McLoughlin1, Gerard D McCarthy1, Glenn Nolan2, Kieran Hickey3, Lionel David Swan1 and Robin Edwards4, (1)Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Ireland, Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Ireland, County Kildare, Ireland, (2)Marine Institute, Galway, Ireland, (3)University College Cork, Ireland, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland, (4)Trinity College Dublin, School of Natural Sciences, Dublin, Ireland
 
CMIP6-Derived Projections of Extreme Wave Climate: Spatiotemporal Variability in the Western South Atlantic Under Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Scenarios (2027833)
Tomas Carlotto1, Rafael Goncalves1, José A. M. Lima2, Antonio Henrique da Fontoura Klein1 and Antonio Fernando Harter Fetter Filh1, (1)Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, Brazil, (2)Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
 
Multi-centennial spatial coherency among Atlantic tropical cyclones from simulated and reconstructed storm records (2029829)
Elizabeth Jane Wallace, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, Richard Sullivan, WHOI, Woods Hole, United States, Sylvia Dee, Rice University, Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences, Houston, TX, United States, Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences and The High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States, Wenchang Yang, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States and Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
 
Modelling the Impact of Sea Level Rise on the Saint Martin’s Island, Bangladesh (2032319)
Mr. A N M Samiul Huda, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, GERMANY and Subrata Sarker : Sahjalal University of Science and Technology
 
Resilience on the ballot: Negotiating resilient livelihood in the coastal Bangladesh (2033208)
Md Nurul Islam, SAJIDA Foundation, Research and evaluation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
 
Decadal Sea Level Change in the South China Sea: Salinity as a Key Contributor (2033248)
Yuhang Zheng1, Yuhong Zhang1, Qin Duan1, Lianyi Zhang1, Wei Zhuang2 and Yan DU1, (1)South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, Guangzhou, China, (2)College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
 
Extreme Wave Modeling and Flood Risk Projection for Outermost Small Island (2034097)
Rima Harahap1, Gerd Masselink2, Sarah J Boulton3 and Arya Iwantoro1, (1)University of Plymouth, Plymouth, United Kingdom, (2)Plymouth University, School of Biological and Marine Sciences, Plymouth, United Kingdom, (3)University of Plymouth, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Science, Plymouth, United Kingdom
 
A New Framework to Explore High-End Sea level Rise for the UK: Updating H++ (2034700)
Jennifer Weeks1,2, Andy Beverton3, Lesley C. Allison1, Jason A. Lowe1,4, Matthew D Palmer5,6, Harriet G. Orr7 and Helen Roberts1,8, (1)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, (3)Environment Agency, London, United Kingdom, (4)Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (6)University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (7)Environment Agency, Bristol, United Kingdom, (8)University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom
 
Limited adaptation planning for multi-century sea level rise in global mega-cities (2036206)
Samuel Mason Zapp, Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography & Coastal Science, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, Matthew W Brand, Louisiana State University, Civil Engineering, Baton Rouge, United States, Matthew D Palmer, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, Paul D Bates, University of Bristol, School Of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, Matthew Weirich, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, United States and Oliver Wing, SSBN Ltd, Bristol, United Kingdom
 
More realistic assessments of future high-tide flooding exposure in American Samoa (2036477)
Carla Baizeau, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, United States and Philip R Thompson, CIMAR, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Department of Oceanography, Honolulu, United States
 
Fine-grained, Finer Predictions? Evaluating the Role of High-Resolution Data in a Coastal Response Model (2037276)
Marie Barlett and Erika E Lentz, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center, Woods Hole, United States
 
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Benjamin Harrison1,2, Matthew D Palmer3,4, Rory J Bingham5, Lucy Bricheno6, Julia Rulent6 and Tom Howard1, (1)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (5)University of Bristol, School of Geographical sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (6)National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom
 
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Johan Reyns1, Mathilde Lindhart2, Gerd Masselink3 and Dano J.A. Roelvink1, (1)IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Coastal and Urban Risk & Resilience, Delft, Netherlands, (2)University of Plymouth, School of Biological and Marine Sciences, Plymouth, United Kingdom, (3)Plymouth University, School of Biological and Marine Sciences, Plymouth, United Kingdom
 
Acceleration of western Gulf coast sea-level rise influenced by river discharge (2039123)
Roger Creel, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Department of Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Christopher G Piecuch, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Kathleen Creel, Northeastern University, Boston, United States and Caroline Ummenhofer, WHOI, Woods Hole, United States
 
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Seyi Adebangbe1, Martin D Hurst1, Larissa A Naylor1, Mingshu Wang1 and Martin Hurst, (1)University of Glasgow, School of Geographical and Earth Sciences, Glasgow, United Kingdom
 
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Jennifer Sue Walker, Kris Szymanski and Sarah Venverloh, Rowan University, Glassboro, NJ, United States
 
High resolution CMIP6 projections of storm surges and waves along the European coast (2041646)
Melisa Menendez, Jonathan Valle Rodriguez, Hector Lobeto and Felipe Gallon, IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
 
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Carolina Camargo1, Christopher G Piecuch1 and Britt Raubenheimer2, (1)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (2)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Applied Ocean Physics & Engineering, Woods Hole, United States
 
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Britnay Beaudry, CUNY City College of New York, New York, United States, Brian Thomas Lamb, PhD, U.S. Geological Survey, Lower Mississippi-Gulf Water Science Center, Coram, United States and Maria Tzortziou, CUNY City College, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, New York, NY, United States
 
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Katherine Anarde, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, Laura J. Moore, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, United States, Miyuki Hino, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, City and Regional Planning, Chapel Hill, United States, Allen Bradshaw Murray, Duke University, Division of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, United States, Thomas Thelen, North Carolina State University, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Raleigh, United States, Benton Franklin, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Earth, Marine, and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, K.C. Busch, North Carolina State University, STEM Education, Raleigh, United States, David Reide Corbett, East Carolina University, Department of Coastal Studies, Greenville, United States and Max Cawley, Museum of Life and Science, Durham, NC, United States
 
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Simon Donald Alistair Thomas, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Dani Jones, University of Michigan, Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research, Ann Arbor, United States, Talea Mayo, Emory University, Atlanta, United States, John Ryan Taylor, University of Cambridge, DAMTP, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Henry Moss, University of Cambridge, Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, Cambridge, United Kingdom, David Roy Munday, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Ivan David Haigh, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom and Devaraj Gopinathan, University College London, London, United Kingdom
 
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Levi Morrison1, Catherine Evans2, Peike Cong2, Bryce MacInnis2 and Alysa Czenze2, (1)COVE, Dartmouth, NS, Canada, (2)Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
 
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John Lodise1, Marianna Shand2, Sophia Merrifield1 and Eric Terrill1, (1)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (2)Naval Facilities Engineering Command SW, San Diego, United States
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