Methods: We employed a staggered-adoption difference-in-differences approach to estimate three linear probability models using Treatment Episode Data Set–Admissions data from 2006 to 2023. In Model 1, the dependent variable indicated whether a residential treatment admission involved receipt of MOUD. In Models 2 and 3, the dependent variable indicated whether the admission involved OUD, focusing on short-term (Model 2) and long-term (Model 3) residential treatment, respectively. Each model compared states that expanded Medicaid to those that did not, using a pre-post framework with the year prior to expansion as the reference. Parallel trends were assessed using event study analyses, supporting claims of causality from our findings. All models included state and year fixed effects and adjusted for sex, age, race, ethnicity, prior treatment experience, employment status, co-occurring mental illness, and health insurance type. Model 1 additionally adjusted for residential treatment type and OUD-related mortality, while Models 2 and 3 adjusted for overdose mortality. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation with chained equations.
Results: Model 1 included 1,802,378 treatment episodes; Model 2 included 3,172,856 episodes; and Model 3 included 2,429,375 episodes. In Model 1, 13.82% of episodes involved receipt of MOUD. In Models 2 and 3, 35.16% and 33.41% of admissions involved OUD, respectively. Medicaid Expansion resulted in a statistically significant increase in MOUD receipt (marginal effect = 0.127, SE = 0.023, p < .001) relative to non-expansion states in the year prior to expansion. However, Medicaid Expansion resulted in no changes in OUD-related admissions in short-term (p = .331) or long-term (p = .418) residential treatment.
Conclusions and Implications: These findings provide evidence that Medicaid Expansion improves access to MOUD within residential treatment settings. Results highlight the importance of addressing insurance-related barriers to expand access to evidence-based treatment for OUD. Future research should examine whether these gains are equitably distributed among populations historically underrepresented in the treatment system.
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