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Session Proposal: Human-Nature system interactions under a sustainable future: Concepts, Modeling, and Application (AGU25)

GC066
Human-Nature system interactions under a sustainable future: Concepts, Modeling, and Application

Session ID#: 248478

Session Description:
Human and natural systems are deeply interconnected, shaping each other in complex and dynamic ways. As both systems continue to co-evolve, increasing demands on the human system (e.g., food, energy) and accelerating Earth system changes (e.g., temperature and precipitation changes, extreme events), pose significant challenges and opportunities for sustainably managing resources and ecosystem services. Understanding their interactions and co-development is essential for informing actionable and effective policy decisions to maintain the sustainable management of the natural system. This session highlights the importance of transdisciplinary approaches to studying coupled human-nature systems. We welcome contribution from diverse disciplines on advances in:1. Novel representation of one-way coupling between human and natural systems;2. Innovative multi-scale, multi-sector, two-way modeling of coupled human-nature system dynamics;3. Develop, test, and analyze scenarios for potential solutions to a sustainable future;4. Insights on future research directions and strategies for sustaining both human well-being and natural environment.
Index Terms:

0468 Natural hazards [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1632 Land cover change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Primary Convener:  Xin Zhao, University of Maryland College Park, Center for Global Sustainability, College Park, United States
Conveners:  Adam Daigneault, University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States, Eva Sinha, Stanford University, Stanford, United States and Christopher Reyer, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Student/Early Career Convener:  Meng Luo, University of Wisconsin Madison, Forest and Wildlife Ecology, Madison, United States
 
Environmental and forest management changes jointly sustain natural lands in the 21st century (1852694)
Meng Luo, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, United States, Adam Daigneault, University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States, Dalei Hao, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, Xin Zhao, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Alice Favero, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, United States, Ben P Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, United States, Akihiko Akihiko, NIES National Institute of Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada, Christopher Reyer, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, Qing Zhu, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States, Brent Sohngen, Ohio State University Main Campus, Columbus, OH, United States and Min Chen, University of Wisconsin Madison, Forest and Wildlife Ecology, Madison, WI, United States
 
A Global Quantitative Assessment of Biosphere Reserves' Contributions to Biodiversity Conservation (1857649)
Yunong Yao, Zhiyun Ouyang and Yanbing Liu, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Enhancing the representation of cropland management practices in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (1861818)
Zeli Tan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, Eva Sinha, Stanford University, Stanford, United States, Jinshi Jian, State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau, Xianyang, China, Beth Drewniak, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States and L. Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
 
Hydrological and Market-Mediated Spillovers from Sustainable Groundwater Management in South Asia (1862505)
Srabashi Ray1, Danielle S Grogan2, Iman Haqiqi1 and Thomas W Hertel3, (1)Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States, (2)University of New Hampshire, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, Durham, United States, (3)Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States
 
The Effects of Interannual Variability in Soybean Yields on Agricultural Outcomes (1875482)
Yuhao Wang1, Thomas Bernard Wild2, Xin Zhao3, Stephanie Morris3, Mengqi Zhao4, Pralit L Patel2, Kuishuang Feng1 and Laixiang Sun1, (1)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, United States, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, United States
 
Achieving nature-positive net-zero pathways and a thriving agri-food industry in Australia without stressing water catchments (1877952)
Xinhao Pan1, JInzhu Wang1, Michalis Hadjikakou1, Nick Williams2, Carla Archibald1, Fjalar de Haan3, Nicholas van Schoten4, Jo Sanson4, Romy Zyngier1, Raymundo Marcos Martinez5, Javier Navarro Garcia6, Lei Gao7, Hossein Aghighi1 and Brett Bryan1, (1)Deakin University School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Burwood, Australia, (2)Biarri Commercial Mathematics, Fortitude Valley, Australia, (3)The University of Melbourne Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, Melbourne, Australia, (4)Climateworks Centre, Melbourne, Australia, (5)CSIRO Environment, Black Mountain, Australia, (6)CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Australia, (7)CSIRO, Waite Campus, Australia
 
Modeling Drivers of Crop Area Change in the Indus Basin for Improved Water Withdrawal Assessments and Projections (1878435)
Muhammad Umer1,2, Naota Hanasaki1,2, Saritha Padiyedath Gopalan1 and Taikan Oki1, (1)The University of Tokyo (UTokyo), Department of Civil Engineering, Tokyo, Japan, (2)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Climate Change Adaptation, Tsukuba, Japan
 
Identifying Sources of Non-Passive Carbon Sequestered in Forests (1878463)
Brent Sohngen, Ohio State University Main Campus, Columbus, OH, United States, Roberto Kimura, Ohio State University Main Campus, Columbus, United States, John B Kim, USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Corvallis, United States, Alla Golub, Los Gatos, CA, UNITED STATES; Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States, Adam Daigneault, University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States and Eric Davis, USDA Economic Research Service, Kansas CIty, United States
 
Land-Atmosphere Coupling Modulates Bidirectional Feedbacks Between Human and Earth Systems (1893884)
Dalei Hao, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Richland, United States, Eva Sinha, Stanford University, Stanford, United States, Alan V Di Vittorio, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States, Roan Chadsey, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Riverdale Park, United States, Balwinder Singh, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States and Ben P Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, United States
 
Blue economy in a Multi-Sector Dynamic framework: agroeconomic and earth system implications of seafood globalization (1897376)
Xin Zhao1,2, Ying Zhang1,2, Stephanie Morris1 and James Edmonds1, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, Center for Global Sustainability, College Park, United States
 
Evaluating Subnational Distribution of Future Air Pollution and Health Under Global Climate Mitigation Pathways (1899936)
Keyan Guo1, Wei Peng2, Jinyu Shiwang1, Mark Budolfson3 and Noah C Scovronick4, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, United States, (3)University of Texas Austin, Austin, United States, (4)Emory University, Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Atlanta, United States
 
From Coastal Retreat to Seaward Growth: Emergent Behaviors from Paired Community Beach Nourishment Choices (1900379)
Jorge Lorenzo-Trueba1, Arye Janoff2, Owen Thomas2, Di Jin3, Andrew D Ashton4, Porter Hoagland5 and Arye, (1)University of Florida, Geological Sciences, Gainesville, United States, (2)Montclair State University, Earth and Environmental Studies, Montclair, United States, (3)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Marine Policy Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (4)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, (5)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Marine Policy Center, Woods Hole, United States
 
Synergistic Pathways for CO2 and Multi-Media Mercury Emission Control in China. (1911223)
Daiwei Ouyang1, Yisheng Sun1, Qingru Wu1, Shuxiao Wang1 and Yang Ou2, (1)Tsinghua University, State Key Laboratory of Regional Environment and Sustainability, School of Environment, Beijing, China, (2)Peking University, Environmental Science and Engineering, Beijing, China
 
Increasing fragmentation of wildland–urban interface as its expanding on China's dryland landscape from 1990 to 2020 (1911775)
Sinuo Xu, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, Yanxu LIU SR., Beijing Normal University, INSTITUTE OF LAND SURFACE SYSTEM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, Beijing, China and Yan Zhao sr., The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
 
E3SM-GCAM: Simulating Human-Earth Feedbacks in an Earth System Model (Invited) (1930852)
Alan V Di Vittorio1, Eva Sinha2, Dalei Hao2, Balwinder Singh2, Katherine V Calvin3, Timothy Shippert4, Pralit Patel5 and Ben P Bond-Lamberty6, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, United States, (6)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, United States
 
Integrating Systems Thinking into Nitrogen Management: Insights from the U.S. Nitrogen Budget (2012–2022) (1936494)
Yanyu Wang1, Eric A Davidson1, Baojing Gu2, William Dennison3, Luis Lassaletta4 and Xin Zhang1, (1)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Appalachian Laboratory, Frostburg, United States, (2)Zhejiang University, College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Hangzhou, China, (3)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Cambridge, United States, (4)Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
 
Beyond climate change: Urban heat islands in energy demand projections and their economic implications (1939716)
Yohan Choi, University of Seoul, Department of Urban Planning and Design, Seoul, South Korea and Chan Park, University of Seoul, Department of Landscape Architecture, Seoul, South Korea
 
Identifying Synergistic Pathways Between Carbon Peaking and Food Security: Insights from China (1939785)
Qiaoling WANG and Shuangcheng Li, Peking University, Beijing, China
 
Sensitivity of human-Earth feedback to different socioeconomic pathways and radiative forcing targets (1955098)
Eva Sinha1, Dalei Hao1, Alan V Di Vittorio2, Roan Chadsey3, Balwinder Singh1 and Ben P Bond-Lamberty4, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Riverdale Park, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, United States
 
An Extensible Model of Coupled Governance and Watershed Connectivity in the Chesapeake Bay Using Hetero-functional Graph Theory (1958983)
Megan Harris, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Blacksburg, United States, John C Little, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Amro M. Farid, Stevens Institute of Technology, School of Systems and Enterprises, Hoboken, United States
 
Fire-Induced Reorganization of Land–Atmosphere Coupling Across Ecosystems and Regions (1959424)
Haoran Liu1, Qing Zhu2 and Min Chen1, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Forest and Wildlife Ecology, Madison, WI, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Modeling regenerative pathways for multifunctional landscapes under increasing environmental stressors. (1980862)
Susan Kotikot, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, United States, Erica A H Smithwick, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Geography and Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, United States, Sarah E Gergel, University of British Columbia, Department of Forest and Conservation Sciences, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Jedidah Nankaya, Maasai Mara University, Department of Forestry and Wildlife, Narok, Kenya and Romulus Abila, Maasai Mara University, Department of Environmental Studies, Geography and Planning, Narok, Kenya
 
An Alternative Modelling Framework for Sustainable Futures (1988574)
T Jayaraman1, Tejal Kanitkar2, Lavanyaa V P2,3 and Sandeep Mahato1, (1)M. S. Swaminathan Research Foundation, Chennai, India, (2)National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru, India, (3)National Insitute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru, India
 
Assessing Climate Impacts on Forage Availability in the Somali Region of Ethiopia Using Remote Sensing (1998017)
Callie Deng, Potomac, Maryland, UNITED STATES, Xianjun Hao, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, United States and John J Qu, George Mason University, Environment Science and Technology Center (ESTC) / Department of Geography and Geoinformation Science (GGS), Fairfax, United States
 
Where to Plant Trees? Designing Landscapes that Sequester Carbon and Promote Public Health (2003748)
Michael Charles, Cornell University, Biological and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, United States