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Session Proposal: Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Theory, Modeling, and Observations (AGU25)

A039
Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Theory, Modeling, and Observations

Session ID#: 249186

Session Description:
There is a growing need to understand how extreme weather phenomena will change in the future under climate change and therefore how such phenomena emerge from the climate system in general. This session seeks novel research bridging the gap between climate and extreme weather, with an emphasis on uncovering the underlying physical processes that generate extremes and the mechanisms by which their statistics vary across climate states, including under global warming. We welcome studies of all types of extreme weather—such as severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, extreme precipitation, heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, winter storms, and compound events. Contributions employing a wide range of approaches are sought, including idealized and high-resolution climate modeling, advanced statistics and machine learning, observational and historical data analysis, and theory.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener:  Suqin Duan, University of California, Los Angeles, Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States
Conveners:  Alyssa M Stansfield, University of Utah, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, United States, Akintomide A Akinsanola, University of Illinois at Chicago, Earth and Environmental Science, Chicago, IL, United States and Mingyu Park, Princeton University, Princeton, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Funing Li, PhD, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Assessing the Roles of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing in Wind-Driven Wildfires in Southern California (Invited) (1845777)
Gavin Dayanga Madakumbura, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, John T Abatzoglou, University of California Merced, Sierra Nevada Research Institute, Merced, United States, Alex Hall, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, Bowen Wang, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States and Park Williams, University of California, Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
 
Bayesian Approach for Low Flow Estimation using Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm (1846695)
Mr. Sujan Nepal, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal, Vishnu Prasad Pandey Dr., Department of Civil Engineering, Institute of Engineering, Tribhuvan University, Lalitpur, Nepal, Bhesh Raj Thapa, Pokhara University, Universal Engineering and Science College, Lalitpur, Nepal and Bhesh Raj Thapa
 
Multivariate scaling against specific and relative humidity helps explain variations of precipitation extremes across regions and under climate change (1848067)
Robert van der Drift, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States and Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
 
The Semi-Annual Seasonality of the Northeastern Pacific Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) in the Observations and the CESM1 Pre-Industrial Simulation (1855885)
Jiahao Li, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, United States, Jin-Yi Yu, Univ California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, United States and Yu Zhao, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
 
Physical Processes Leading to Future Changes in Extreme Day-to-day Temperature Change Over North America (1858002)
Kalpana Hamal, Freie Universitat Berlin, Institut für Meteorologie, Berlin, Germany and Stephan Pfahl, Freie Universität Berlin, Institut für Meteorologie, Berlin, Germany
 
Characteristics And Mechanisms of Cold Air Outbreaks in the Central and Eastern United States (1875793)
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States, Zach Solecki, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, United States, Robert Rauber, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Climate, Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, United States and John E Walsh, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States
 
Heatwaves in a changing climate: Dynamical insights from idealized modeling experiments (Invited) (1878022)
Daniela Domeisen1, Emmanuele Russo2, Bernat Jiménez Esteve3, Wolfgang Wicker1, Hilla Afargan Gerstman4, Maria Pyrina5, Doris Folini6, Nili Harnik7 and Kai Kornhuber8, (1)University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, (2)ECMWF, Bonn, Germany, (3)Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain, (4)University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, (5)ETH Zurich / ECMWF, Zurich, Switzerland, (6)ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (7)Tel Aviv, Israel, (8)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, United States
 
Historical and Projected Fire Weather Changes in the Contiguous United States: Evidence from Multi-source Ensemble Analysis (1878897)
Tianqi Zhang1, Jiafu Mao2, Jitendra Kumar2, Shih-Chieh Kao3, Elias Charbel Massoud4, Forrest Hoffman5 and Daniel M Ricciuto2, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Science Division, Oak Ridge, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (5)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences & Engineering Division, Oak Ridge, United States
 
Identifying Physical Processes Impacting Extreme Winter Warmth and Skewness of Temperature Distributions. (1878941)
Alexander Friedman, Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
 
Modulation of U.S. Hazardous Convective Weather by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (1879739)
Ivy Glade1, James W Hurrell1, Kristen Rasmussen2 and Lantao Sun1, (1)Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, United States
 
MULTI-SCALE DRIVERS OF WARM SEASON HEAT EXTREMES IN THE MIDWESTERN UNITED STATES. (1884076)
Saidat Rasaq-Balogun, Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Carbondale, IL, United States and Justin T Schoof, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, IL, United States
 
Impacts of Jet Stream Structure on Cyclone Mergers and Persistent Anticyclones: Insights from Dry Idealized Simulations (1885294)
Mingfei Ren1, Gan Zhang2, Kai-Yuan Cheng3, Lucas Harris3, Talia Brodsky4 and Joseph Mouallem3, (1)University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, UNITED STATES, (2)Unviersity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, United States, (3)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (4)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Impact of Ocean Temperatures on Heat Stress in South Florida (1885938)
Sophia DiPietro, University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, Atmospheric Science, Miami, United States, Amy C Clement, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, United States and Katharine J Mach, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Miami, United States
 
The Generation of Extreme Heat in Middle Latitudes by Local and Equatorial Greenhouse Gases, Transported by Hadley and Ferrel Cells (1886928)
Mahmoud E Yousif, University of Nairobi, Department of Physics, Nairobi, Kenya
 
A Record-Breaking Pan-Tropical Atlantic Marine Heatwave During Early-Spring 2024 Fueled by Local and Remote Forcing (1887598)
Jun-Chao Yang1, Shenglong Li1, Ingo Richter2, Yi Liu3, Yu Zhang1, Ziguang Li1 and Xiaopei Lin1, (1)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (2)Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan, (3)NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, United States
 
Physical Processes Driving Surface Temperature Variability Changes in a Warming Climate (1888318)
Aurora Basinski Ferris and Ian Eisenman, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
Quantifying Uncertainty in Precipitation Extremes Using an Observational Large Ensemble (1895507)
Kyle McEvoy, University of California Los Angeles, Department of Statistics and Data Science, Los Angeles, United States, Karen A McKinnon, University of California Los Angeles, Institute of Environment and Sustainability; Department of Statistics and Data Science; Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic Science, Los Angeles, United States and Andrew Poppick, Carleton College, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Northfield, United States
 
Convective Storms Are More Severe in Colder Climate: Evidence and Physics from Historical and Modern Climate Data (1901089)
Pao K Wang, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
 
An Abrupt Shift in Tropical Variability and Its Impact on Cold Extremes over North America since the late 1990s (1903803)
Minju Kim, Ewha Womans University, Science Education, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); Korea Institute of Science and Technology (KIST), Seoul, South Korea, Hyemi Kim, Ewha Womans University, Department of Science Education, Seoul, South Korea and Mi-Kyung Sung, KIST Korea Institute of Science and Technology, Center for Sustainable Environment Research, Seoul, South Korea
 
Investigation of Spatial-Temporal Changes of Heatwaves in Japan and Factors Contributing to Their Occurrence (1905068)
Makoto Nakayoshi1, Harunori Kito1 and Harunori Kito, (1)Tokyo University of Science, Tokyo, Japan
 
A Generalized Clasius-Clapeyron Scaling Approach Highlights Local Thermodynamic vs Large-scale Circulation Controls on Extreme Precipitation (1907546)
Santa Andria1, Marco Borga Sr.2 and Marco Marani1,3, (1)University of Padova, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Padova, Italy, (2)University of Padova, Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, Legnaro, Italy, (3)University of Padova, Research Center on Climate Change Impacts, Rovigo, Italy
 
Stratosphere–troposphere coupling during extreme cooling in Alaska in January 1989: new look (1908263)
Gennadi P Milinevsky1,2, Ruixian Yu1, Oleksandr Evtushevsky3, Andrew R Klekociuk4, Mrs. Yuliia Andrienko3, Diana Zazubyk3, Asen Grytsai3 and Oleksandra Bilous3, (1)Jilin University, College of Physics, International Center of Future Science, Changchun, China, (2)National Antarctic Scientific Center of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine, (3)Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Kyiv, Ukraine, (4)Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, TAS, Australia
 
A Pathway for Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves to Influence Temperatures in Western Europe During Early Winter (1910087)
Jian Shi1, Junling Ma1, Neil John Holbrook2, Jiajie Chen1 and Zhongxian Li3, (1)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (2)University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)Nanjing University of Science & Technology, Nanjing City, China
 
A Global Regionalized Non-Asymptotic Extreme-Value Framework for Estimating Present and Future Storm Surge Extremes (1913799)
Pietro Devò1, Thomas Wahl2 and Marco Marani1, (1)University of Padova, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Padova, Italy, (2)Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida, Orlando, United States
 
Future Winter Snowfall and Precipitation Phase Shifts Across the CONUS (1915233)
Ummul Khaira1, Lulin Xue2 and Marina Astitha1, (1)University of Connecticut, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, United States, (2)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
 
Mind the Gap: A theoretical framework on extreme precipitation intensity scaling with temperature at the weather and climate timescales (1917889)
Guiling Wang1, Faisal Mohammad Alvee1, Hongchen Qin1, Ruby Leung2, Huancui Hu3 and Xiaoming Sun4, (1)University of Connecticut, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (DOE), Richland, United States, (4)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States
 
Critical Impact of Land-Atmosphere Feedbacks on Midlatitude Wintertime Surface Temperature Variance (1918124)
Kezhou Lu1, Gang Chen1, Bowen GE2, Rong Fu3, Weiming Ma1 and Hailong Wang4, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, (3)University of California, Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Manually Controlling Tropical Cyclones in a Coupled Aquaplanet: Insights into Upscale Climate Impacts (1919368)
Joshua Pan and Colin Zarzycki, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, University Park, United States
 
Spatial Scales of Daily Extreme Precipitation in the US: Climatology, Trends, and Relationships to Intensity (1919983)
Trinish Chatterjee, Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, New York, United States and Radley M Horton, Columbia University, Climate School, New York, United States
 
Tropical Moist Heat Extremes on Small Scales Are Not Well Constrained by Reanalysis-Derived Quasi-Equilibrium Relationships (1923054)
Quinn Bowman, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and Larissa E Back, UW-Madison, Madison, WI, United States
 
Post-tropical Storm Ida: Linking mesoscale and statistical analysis to contextualize an unprecedented precipitation event (1924753)
James F Booth, CUNY City College of New York, Earth and Atmospheric Science, New York, NY, United States, Carolien Mossel, Leicester, United Kingdom, Tyler Paul Janoski, City College of New York, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, New York, United States, Thomas Galarneau Jr., NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, United States and Naresh Devineni, Department of Civil Engineering, The City College of the City University of New York, and CUNY-CREST, Department of Civil Engineering, New York, United States
 
Investigating Low Likelihood, High Impact Extratropical Cyclone Characteristics in a Warming Climate (1927761)
Diana K Apoznanski1, Anthony J Broccoli1 and Robert E Kopp2, (1)Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
 
The Record-Breaking Compound Heatwave and Drought Event in 2024 over the Sichuan Basin, Southwest China (1933553)
Yang Li1, Chundie Yan1, Quanliang Chen1, Xin Zhou2, Wei Wang, Yun Zhu4, Xinyue Cao1 and Guolu Gao5, (1)Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China, (2)Chengdu University of Information Technology, School of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu, China, (3)Yibin Meteorological Bureau, Yibin, China, (4)Institute of Tibetan Plateau Meteorology, Chengdu, China
 
Changing Rossby Wave Pathways Behind the Increasing Frequency of Summertime Extreme Precipitation in Northeast China and Pakistan (1933843)
Zhenyu You, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, UNITED STATES, Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States and Yi Ming, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, United States
 
Influence of Tropical Cyclone–Midlatitude Interactions on Pacific Western North American Ridges and Their Effects on Surface Heat Extremes (1935951)
Xiaoyu Bai1, Dmitri Kalashnikov2, Paul C Loikith3, Siiri Bigalke4, Alexander Mitchell5, Lance F Bosart6, Mingfang Ting7, Amanda Laverty1 and Deepti Singh1, (1)Washington State University, School of the Environment, Vancouver, United States, (2)University of California Merced, Merced, United States, (3)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, United States, (4)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Geography, Environment & Society, Minneapolis, MN, United States, (5)SUNY at Albany, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States, (6)University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, United States, (7)Columbia Climate School, New York, United States
 
The Effect of Temporal Resolution in Model Output on Extreme Precipitation and Its Apparent Intensification Under Climate Change (1938973)
Jiawen Tang, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States, Chunyong Jung, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, Jiali Wang, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, United States, Veerabhadra Rao Kotamarthi, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, United States and Elisabeth J Moyer, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, United States
 
Record setting heavy precipitation occurrence in 2024 (1944533)
Chad William Thackeray1, Jesse Norris2, Alex Hall1, Mark D Zelinka3 and Stephen Po-Chedley3, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States
 
Tropical cyclone activity may shift and weaken the Intertropical Convergence Zone: a global climate modeling study (1946027)
Gabriel Rios, Princeton University, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences and The High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States and Wenchang Yang, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Projected Changes in Atmospheric Pathways of Western North American Heatwaves from High-Resolution Coupled Model Simulations (1948207)
Mingyu Park, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Korea, Republic of (South); Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton, United States and Nathaniel C Johnson, NOAA, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
 
Examining Extreme Winter Precipitation Over the Contiguous United States and the Modulating Role of Large Scale Modes of Variability (1949345)
Mari R Tye1, Stephen G Yeager1, Iris Elisabeth de Vries2, Rachel Rose McCrary3, Samar Minallah1, Joshua Lave1, Gerald Meehl1 and Jadwiga Richter4, (1)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (3)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (4)U. S. National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
 
Trojan Horse Snowfall: How dust in snowfall produces delayed, but significant impacts across the Upper Colorado River Basin (1951341)
Daniel Feldman, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Leah Gibson, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Denver, CO, United States, Felix Yu, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States; University of California-Berkekely, Berkeley, United States, Marianne Cowherd, University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, Berkeley, United States, William J Rudisill, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, Erica R Siirila-Woodburn, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, United States, Allison C Aiken, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Science Division, Los Alamos, United States, Laura Riihimaki, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Hagen Telg, NOAA, ESRL Global Monitoring Division, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Change in Mid-latitude Extreme Weather Induced by Climate Engineering (1951535)
Dahye Ko and Hyemi Kim, Ewha Womans University, Department of Science Education, Seoul, South Korea
 
Role of vertical moistening processes in modulating Indian heatwaves (1951881)
Manali Saha, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, Vishal Dixit, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Centre for Climate Studies, Mumbai, India and Karthikeyan Lanka, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Center of Studies in Resource Engineering, Mumbai, India
 
Impacts of Near-Term Aerosol Emissions Uncertainty on Global Patterns of Heatwave Hazard and Exposure (1952035)
Geeta Persad1, Cameron Cummins2, Sebastian Utama1, David Paynter3, Jane Wilson Baldwin4 and Dr. Danielle E Touma, PhD5, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Austin, United States, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, (3)NOAA/ Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (4)University of California, Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, United States, (5)University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, United States
 
Surprise Heatwaves: Comparing Theory- and Data-Driven Estimates of Surface Air Temperature Upper-Bounds to Identify Where and Why Historical Records May Under-Predict Future Heatwaves (1953073)
Daniel Feldman, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Mark Daniel Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, CA, United States, Stefan Rahimi, University of Wyoming, Atmospheric Science, Laramie, United States and William R Boos, University of California Berkeley, Department of Earth and Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Climate Change-Induced Trends in Extreme Snowfall Over Mountain Regions (1954289)
Aidan McClure1, Ethan Chow2, Robert Nazarian2, Brody Matijevic2, Akintomide A Akinsanola3, Jay Broccolo4 and Nicholas Lutsko5, (1)Regis High School, New York, United States, (2)Fairfield University, Physics, Fairfield, United States, (3)University of Illinois at Chicago, Earth and Environmental Science, Chicago, IL, United States, (4)Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, United States, (5)UCSD, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
How does vegetation impact the magnitude and occurrence of extreme heat events in urban environments? (1961072)
Nathaniel A Brunsell, University of Kansas, Department of Geography and Atmospheric Science, Lawrence, KS, United States and Dave A Rahn, University of Kansas, Department of Geography and Atmospheric Science, Lawrence, United States
 
Historical Trends in Skewness and Extremes of Temperature, Moisture, Sunshine, and Wind Speed since 1885 at the Blue Hill Observatory (1970062)
Michael J Iacono1, Matthew Douglas1, Amanda Joly1, Joshua Polen1 and Tamara S Ledley2, (1)Blue Hill Observatory and Science Center, Milton, United States, (2)Bentley University, Waltham, United States
 
Exploring the relationship between tropical cyclone frequency and tropical circulations in an idealized climate model (1971148)
Youwei Ma1, Christopher Wolfe2, Kevin Reed2, Megha Rao3 and Gan Zhang4, (1)Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States, (2)Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, United States, (3)University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, UNITED STATES, (4)University of Illinois, Urbana, United States
 
Analysis of Thermodynamic Variables Associated with Hawaiian Extreme Precipitation Using the Fraction of Attributable Risk (FAR) (1978662)
Matt Sinnenberg, University at Albany State University of New York, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States and Oliver Timm, University at Albany State University of New York, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, United States
 
Using CHIRTS-ERA5 Heat Index and CHIRTS-ERA5 Wet Bulb Globe Temperature to Monitor Extreme Humid Heat Events and their Frequency Through Time (1981876)
Robert Saldivar1, Chris C Funk1, Laura Harrison2, Pete Peterson3, Cascade Tuholske4, Daniella C Alaso1 and Gregory J Husak1, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States, (2)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (3)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, United States, (4)Montana State University, Department of Earth Sciences, Geospatial Core Facility, Bozeman, United States
 
The link between ENSO and extreme precipitation in a super-large ensemble of atmospheric model simulations (1982004)
Jin-Sil Hong1, Yuko Okumura1, Dunyu Liu1, Dr. Danielle E Touma, PhD1, Geeta Persad2, Charles S Jackson3, Antoine Blanchard3, Amanda Black3, Nishant Parashar3, Ebrahim Nabizadeh3 and Cosmo Miyahara1,4, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, United States, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Austin, United States, (3)Verisk Analytics, Boston, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Department of Physics, Austin, United States
 
Moisture Matters: Distinct Roles of Diabatic Heating in Atmospheric Blocking in Idealized Models (1986339)
Zhaoyu Liu, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science, West Lafayette, United States and Lei Wang, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
 
Rare event sampling for moving targets: daily precipitation and temperature extremes in a general circulation model (1986934)
Justin Moshe Finkel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States and Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
 
Understanding the added value of dynamical downscaling in capturing extratropical extreme wind events (1990633)
Paul J Kushner1, Lucas Prates1 and Michael Morris2, (1)University of Toronto, Physics, Toronto, ON, Canada, (2)University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
 
Revisiting Indian Summer Monsoon Extremes and Variability with CMIP6 HighResMIP Models: Benefits of Increased Horizontal Resolution (1991022)
Amita Kumari, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India, Alok Mishra, University of Allahabad, K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies, Allahabad, India, Amit Kumar, University of Minnesota Duluth, Civil Engineering, Duluth, MN, United States and 2nd Alok Mishra
 
Rapid Intensification of Spatiotemporally Contiguous Heatwaves Across the Arabian Peninsula (1993334)
Waqar Ul Hassan1,2, Md Saquib Saharwardi1,2, Dr. Harikishan Gandham1,2, Hari Prasad Dasari1,2, A. G. Prajeesh1,2, Ibrahim Hoteit1 and Yasser Abualnaja1,2, (1)King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Physical Science and Engineering, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia, (2)National Center for Meteorology, Climate Change Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
 
Dry Dynamics Matter: the Contributions of Synoptic Eddies to Atmospheric Blocking Events in Observations and Idealized Models (1999691)
Lei Wang and Yanjun Hu, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
 
Global Severe Hail Climatology: An Ensemble Reanalysis Approach (2002217)
Carlos Cuervo-Lopez1, John T Allen2, Daria Kluver1 and Mateusz Taszarek3, (1)Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI, United States, (2)Central Michigan University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Mount Pleasant, MI, United States, (3)Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland
 
Rare Heatwave Events Over the U.S. Continent: Spatial Variability and Driving Mechanisms (2003044)
Xiangdong Zhang, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, Han Tang, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States and Jing Zhang, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC, United States
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