H134
Subseasonal to Seasonal to Interannual Predictability and Land-Atmosphere Coupling
Session ID#: 250053
Session Description:
Subseasonal to seasonal prediction skill of precipitation and temperature anomalies has remained stubbornly low. Recent findings suggest that the land surface is a key source of predictability at subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) and interannual timescales, and possibly beyond. This session invites contributions that enhance our understanding of precipitation and temperature predictability-from sub-seasonal to longer timescales-with a focus on the land-atmosphere interactions, including for extreme events such as droughts, floods, and heatwaves. Topics may include local and remote influences of land temperature - especially over high elevation - soil moisture, vegetation, and snow. We welcome studies on the effect of land forcing on predictability and related dynamic and physical mechanisms driving hydroclimate feedback, including (but not limited to) global and regional model experiments, model intercomparison projects, and observational analyses, site measurements, and reanalysis. Comparative assessments of the roles and uncertainties of land versus oceanic processes are also encouraged.
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
1843 Land/atmosphere interactions [HYDROLOGY]
1854 Precipitation [HYDROLOGY]
3322 Land/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3337 Global climate models [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: Aaron Anthony Boone, CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, GMME, Toulouse, France
Conveners: Qi Tang, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, Yuhei Takaya, Meteorological Research Institute, Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling Research, Tsukuba, Japan and Retish Senan, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
Student/Early Career Convener: Megan Devlan Fowler, University of California Irvine, Irvine, United States
Influence of soil moisture on surface air temperature in monsoons (1847943)
Yuhei Takaya, Meteorological Research Institute, Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling Research, Tsukuba, Japan, Yu Kosaka, University of Tokyo, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, Tokyo, Japan, Naresh Ganeshi, Kagawa University, Takamatsu, Japan, X. San Liang, Fudan University, Shanghai, China and Tomonori Sato, Hokkaido University, Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Sapporo, Japan
Land Temperatures in the Tibetan Plateau and Rocky Mountains and S2S Predictability of East Asian and North American Hydroclimate Extreme Events – GEWEX/LS4P-II Approach and Highlights (Invited) (1857632)
Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, Aaron Anthony Boone, CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, GMME, Toulouse, France, Tandong Yao, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Qi Tang, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, Yuhei Takaya, Meteorological Research Institute, Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling Research, Tsukuba, Japan, William K-M Lau, U. of Maryland, College Park, United States and GEWEX/LS4P
Role of orographic drag process on seasonal precipitation forecast (1861556)
Jinbo Xie, Princeton University, High Meadows Environmental Institute (HMEI), Princeton, United States, Qi Tang, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States and Dr. Hara Prasad Nayak, University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Concurrent Heat Extremes in Relation to Global Warming, High Atmospheric Pressure and Low Soil Moisture in the Northern Hemisphere (1872606)
Dalai Nasong1, Sha Zhou1, Kai Kornhuber2 and Bofu Yu3, (1)Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, (2)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, United States, (3)Griffith University, Nathan, Australia
Intercomparison of Regional Climate Models for Interannual Variability in China from GEWEX/LS4P Phase I simulations (1889222)
Miao Yu, NUIST Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, Wenchao Wang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, Jianping Tang, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China and Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States
Land–atmosphere coupling processes controlling near-surface temperature over the Tibetan Plateau (1889898)
Shiori Sugimoto, JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan, Changgui Lin, National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Jianping Tang, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China, Kun Yang, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science & Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States, Yaoming Ma, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Beijing, China, Tomonori Sato, Hokkaido University, Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Sapporo, Japan and Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States
Teleconnection Influences and Forecast Skill of NMME Models in Seasonal Drought Prediction over the Arabian Peninsula (1891675)
Muhammad Azhar Azhar Ehsan1, Emile Esmaili2, Andrew William Robertson3, Matteo Zampieri4, Thang Luong4, Md Saquib Saharwardi5 and Ibrahim Hoteit5, (1)Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, United States, (2)Columbia University in the City of New York, Columbia Climate School, New York, United States, (3)Center for Climate Systems Research @NASA GISS, New York, United States, (4)King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia, (5)King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Physical Sciences and Engineering Division, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
Enhancing Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictability through Improved Snow Data Assimilation over the Tibetan Plateau (1909003)
Retish Senan1, Yvan Orsolini2, Patricia de Rosnay1, Martin Wegmann3, David Fairbairn1 and Ekaterina Vorobeva2, (1)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller, Norway, (3)University of Bern, Institute of Geography, Bern, Switzerland
Unraveling the 2025 Early Monsoon Onset: Role of land surface temperature (1909296)
Hara Prasad Nayak, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, Karrevula Narayana Reddy, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, Bhubaneswar, India, Xue Yongkang, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, U. C. Mohanty, SOA University, Bhubaneswar, India, Velu Vinoj, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India and Akhil Srivastava, Indian Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India
Land–Atmosphere Coupling and Deep Soil Memory over the Tibetan Plateau: Impacts on Regional and Downstream Climate at S2S Timescales (1911398)
Hongjing Chen, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, Han Zhang, Jiangsu Provincial Meteorological Bureau, Nanjing, China, Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science & Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States, Yongjiu Dai, Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Guangzhou, China and Haoran Xu, Hangzhou Meteorological Bureau, Hangzhou, China
The Evaluation of the ENSO- and PDO-related SSTA Effect on the CONUS Spring Soil Hydrology via the E3SM (1920273)
Bo-YI LU, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States and Ryan Torn, University at Albany, State University of New York, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States
Quantifying the Influences of Thermodynamic vs. Dynamic Fields on Afternoon Precipitation Events in the Southern Great Plains Using ERA5 Reanalysis (1921246)
Anna Rosen1, Rong Fu2, Yizhou Zhuang3 and Yi-Hung Kuo1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California, Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Hong Kong Baptist University, Geography, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Impacts of Irrigation on Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Precipitation: A WRF-Model Based Assessment (1935855)
Syeda Tasneem Binta Haider, University of Nebraska Lincoln, High Plains Regional Climate Center and School of Natural Resources, Lincoln, United States and Rezaul Mahmood¹˒², Daniel Whitesel¹˒², Paul Flanagan³, Liang Chen⁴, and Michael Hayes² ¹High Plains Regional Climate Center, UNL ²School of Natural Resources, UNL ³USDA ARS, El Reno, OK ⁴Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, UNL
Wildfires Exacerbate Post-fire Hydroclimate Extremes Through Land-Atmosphere Interactions (1937274)
Shuoqing Wang, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, Beijing, CHINA and Yan Yu, Peking University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Beijing, China
Deep learning for flash drought prediction and interpretation (1967758)
Qian Zhao1, Xuwei Tan2, Xueru Zhang2, Pierre Gentine3 and Yanlan Liu1, (1)The Ohio State University, School of Earth Sciences, Columbus, United States, (2)The Ohio State University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Columbus, United States, (3)Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States
Vegetation Response to Extreme Rainfall in Spring 2023 Across the Western U.S. (1981886)
Zhijiong Cao, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States and Dr. Hara Prasad Nayak, University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Diagnosing Parametric Controls on CLM Ecohydrology Using Machine Learning Emulators (1985787)
Sarah Ryu, University of California Berkeley, Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, Berkeley, United States, Linnia R Hawkins, Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States, Katherine Dagon, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Mr. Sudhanshu Kumar, Auburn University, Department of Crop, Soil & Environmental Sciences, Auburn, United States and Isabella Lu, Columbia University, San Francisco, California, UNITED STATES
Predicting on the Extreme Precipitation in East and Southeast Asia during Summer 2022 from the Antecedent Soil Temperature Anomaly over the Tibetan Plateau (1986738)
Xianghui Kong, State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application;Nansen-Zhu International Research Center,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Aihui Wang, National Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application;Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Yongkang Xue, Univ California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, Nan Wei, Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Guangzhou, China and He Zhang, International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences; State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
The Interplay of Vegetation and Land-Atmosphere Feedbacks in Flash Drought Prediction (1989935)
Mahmoud Osman, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Benjamin F Zaitchik, Johns Hopkins University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Baltimore, MD, United States, Patricia Lawston Parker, College of Marine and Earth Studies, Manassas, VA, United States, Joseph A Santanello Jr, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, United States and Martha Anderson, USDA ARS, Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Beltsville, United States
Unraveling the Role of Tibetan Plateau Heating and Its Remote Impacts on Tropical Africa Precipitation (1995154)
Ismaila Diallo1, Marissa Jasper1, John Bagarino1 and Mamadou simina Drame2, (1)San Jose State University, Department of Meteorology and Climate Science, San Jose, United States, (2)Laboratory of Atmospheric-Ocean Physics Simeon Fongang, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
