The deadline to submit a session, town hall, or pre-conference workshop proposal for AGU25 has passed. Please search for and review proposed sessions below. Please note this site is frozen as of 4/29/25 and will not reflect any changes to proposals made after this date.


Conveners will be contacted by the AGU25 Program Committee with any requests for mergers or edits to proposals. Conveners will be notified of the acceptance of their proposal in mid-June.


Abstract submissions will also open in mid-June and the deadline for abstract submissions is 30 July, 2025.


Please visit the AGU25 website for more information or please contact AGU with any questions.

Session Proposal: Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events (AGU25)

GC039
Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events

Session ID#: 251092

Session Description:
Monitoring anthropogenic interference on the climate system is critical to informed decision making regarding economies, human health, and ecosystems as the planet continues to warm. In particular, weather and climate extremes (e.g., heavy precipitation, floods, droughts, tropical cyclones, and heat waves) pose an outsized contribution to climate change risk and impacts. Formal detection and attribution studies provide a rigorous framework for understanding how anthropogenic forcing has altered both mean climate and extreme events. This session invites contributions that assess the detection and/or attribution of anthropogenic climate change and weather and climate extremes on regional or global scales. Contributions on developing new data sets and methodology (such as machine learning) for detection and attribution of climate change and extreme events are also invited. We also welcome contributions in the emerging field of impact attribution, in particular in critical sectors such as health, agriculture, energy, transportation and tourism.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4321 Climate impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener:  Huanping Huang, Louisiana State University, Department of Geography and Anthropology, Baton Rouge, LA, United States
Conveners:  Samuel Baugh, Penn State University, Department of Statistics, State College, United States, Davide Faranda, French National Center for Scientific Research, Institute Pierre Simon Laplace, Paris, France and Daniel M. Gilford, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
On the Development of a Rapid Event Attribution System for Extreme Precipitation over Canada (1844998)
Madalina Surcel, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Dorval, QC, Canada and Megan Kirchmeier-Young, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Toronto, Canada
 
Intercomparing Attribution Methods for Hurricane Milton’s Intensity (1880267)
Daniel M. Gilford, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States, Ralf Toumi, Imperial College London, Space and Atmospheric Physics, London, United Kingdom, Nathan Sparks, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, Stella Bourdin, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, Huanping Huang, Louisiana State University, Department of Geography and Anthropology, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, Mireia Ginesta, Oxford Sustainable Law Programme, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, Davide Faranda, French National Center for Scientific Research, Institute Pierre Simon Laplace, Paris, France, Harish Uppu, Louisiana State University, Department of Geography and Anthropology, Baton Rouge, United States and Emily Bercos-Hickey, University of California Davis, Davis, United States
 
Documenting and attributing flood damages (Invited) (1887268)
Justin S Mankin and Alexander Gottlieb, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, United States
 
Large-Scale Circulation Patterns Regulate the Response of Extreme Atmospheric River Events to Global Warming (1901001)
Jared Trok, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, Elizabeth Barnes, Boston University, Computing and Data Sciences, Earth and Environment, Boston, United States, Emily M Gordon, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States, Frances V Davenport, Colorado State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Fort Collins, United States, Daniel L Swain, University of California Division of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Davis, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and Noah S Diffenbaugh, Stanford University, Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, United States
 
Spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation variability in MENA Region at +2oC and +4oC Climate Scenarios (1905482)
Hadir Abdelmoneim1, Sameh Kantosh1, Mohamed Saber1, Vahid Nourani2 and Amirreza Tabataba Vakili1, (1)Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, (2)Center of Excellence in Hydroinformatics and Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Tabriz, Civil & Environmental Eng, Tabriz, Iran
 
Attribution of Thermodynamic and Dynamic Responses to Historical Extreme Precipitation Changes Over India (1941421)
Chaithra S T, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, New Delhi, India and Krishna M Achutarao, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India
 
Regional Variations in Drivers of Extreme Reference Evapotranspiration across the Contiguous United States (1946656)
Dr. Bingjie Zhao1, Christopher Horvat1, Christopher Pearson2, Deep Shah3 and Huilin Gao3, (1)Brown University, Providence, RI, United States, (2)Desert Research Institute, Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Reno, United States, (3)Texas A&M University, Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Station, United States
 
Recent Advances in Rapid Attribution of Extreme Events (Invited) (1957283)
Clair Barnes, Imperial College London, World Weather Attribution / Centre for Environmental Policy, London, United Kingdom and World Weather Attribution
 
Changes in Extreme and Annual Precipitation under Global Warming (1971767)
Srishti Gaur, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Department of Climate and Space Science and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States, Lisa Nguyen, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Applied Physics, Ann Arbor, United States, Andrew Gronewold, University of Michigan, School for Environment and Sustainability, Ann Arbor, United States, Peter Reich, Mohammed Ombadi, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Science and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States and Lisa Nguyen
 
Attributing increases in the rate of emergency room visits for heat-related illness in the United States to climate change (1974195)
Kristina Dahl, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States and Michelle Young, Climate Central, Princeton, United States
 
Multidisciplinary Insights from the Ennore Oil Spill in the Wake of Cyclone Michaung: Uncovering Ecological Risks and Community Vulnerabilities. (1991877)
Indumathi Nambi1, Geethapriyai Murugavel1, Rajagopal Sadhasivam1, Sakthi Maheshwari1, Tatiparthi Srinivas2, Bharati Patel2, Gayathri Girish2 and Parama Roy3, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Madras, Chennai, India, (2)Institute of Forest Biodiversity, Indian Council of Forestry Research and Education, Visakhapatnam, India, (3)Okapi Advisory Services Private Limited, Chennai, India
 
Rapid attribution of heavy rainfall events in Japan (1992879)
Chiharu Takahashi, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan and Yukiko Imada, AORI, the University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan
 
Disentangling Regional Climate Change: Assessing the contribution of global– and regional–scale anthropogenic factors to observed regional warming. (1995115)
Armineh Barkhordarian, University of Hamburg, Institute of Oceanography, Hamburg, Germany