Global Surface Warming Patterns: Mechanisms, Impacts and Projections

Session ID#: 279514

Session Description:
Global surface temperature changes exhibit considerable spatial variations. Non-uniform surface warming patterns evolve across a range of timescales under both external forcings and internal variability, driven by local and remote physical processes. Over recent decades, the observed surface warming pattern features unprecedented cooling trends in the tropical eastern Pacific and the Southern Ocean, which fall largely outside of the range of climate model simulations. The discrepancies in recent tropical warming patterns have broad implications for regional and global climate signals (such as precipitation, circulation, and climate sensitivity), yet their formations remain unclear, posing great challenges for constraining their future evolution and associated climate impacts. This session invites observational, modeling, and paleoclimate studies on the mechanisms, impacts and projections of global surface warming patterns. Topics include but are not limited to forced changes in the coupled system, low-frequency internal variability, tropical inter-basin interactions, tropical-extratropical teleconnections, and pattern effects.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1635 Oceans [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Primary Convener:  Yue Dong, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Conveners:  Malte F Stuecker, International Pacific Research Center and Department of Oceanography, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, United States, Shineng Hu, Duke University, Division of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, NC, United States and Nicole Feldl, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States