Advancing interdisciplinary research on pre-earthquake processes, earthquake forecasting, and nowcasting using models, observations, and AI-enhanced techniques.

Session ID#: 279838

Session Description:
This session highlights recent interdisciplinary research combining space and ground observations, advanced models, and technologies on pre-earthquake activities. Events like the 2025 Kamchatka earthquake and Myanmar's M7.7 quake have motivated efforts to develop early detection systems to reduce casualties. Observables such as ground deformation (GNSS, SAR) and pre-quake geochemical, electromagnetic, hydrogeological, and thermodynamic changes have been monitored concerning stress in the lithosphere. Over the past decade, emerging technologies such as advanced machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applied to big data, along with state-of-the-art signal processing tools, have sparked a surge in research on earthquake forecasting and nowcasting. These methods enable the detection of physical earthquake precursors but also require complex computing architectures. Submissions should cover observations, modeling, ML/AI approaches, especially "explainable AI' aligning with geophysical knowledge, cross-disciplinary studies on earthquake forecasting and nowcasting; and the reliability of identified precursors.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • GP - Geomagnetism, Paleomagnetism and Electromagnetism
  • IN - Informatics
  • S - Seismology
  • T - Tectonophysics
Index Terms:

4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4317 Precursors [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4333 Disaster risk analysis and assessment [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4337 Remote sensing and disasters [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener:  Dimitar Ouzounov, Hellenic Mediterranean University, Chania, Greece
Conveners:  John B Rundle, University of California Davis, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Davis, CA, United States, Angelo De Santis, INGV National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Rome, Italy and Katsumi Hattori, Graduate School of Science, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan
See more of: Natural Hazards