Advancing the Use of Hydroclimatic Forecasts for Water Resources Decision-Making

Session ID#: 280874

Session Description:
Advances in hydroclimatic forecasting, from short-term to seasonal scales, offer growing potential to inform water resources management, climate adaptation, and resilience to extremes. While uptake has expanded in some domains, challenges remain in aligning forecasts with decision processes, demonstrating value in practice, and integrating them into institutional workflows. Increasing model complexity, including AI-based forecasts, also raises new challenges around interpretability, trust, and operational use. This session invites transdisciplinary contributions that advance both the development and application of hydroclimatic forecasts in water resources decision-making. We welcome work on improving forecast accuracy and uncertainty characterization, alongside efforts to better understand how forecasts are interpreted, communicated, and used. Topics may include decision-centered evaluation of forecasts, uncertainty communication, co-production with stakeholders, and challenges related to human-AI integration including interpretability, trust, and effective human-machine collaboration. Contributions on sequential and adaptive decision-making and real-world integration into planning, operations, and institutional frameworks are especially encouraged.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • SY - Science and Society
Index Terms:

1833 Hydroclimatology [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
1922 Forecasting [INFORMATICS]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
Primary Convener:  Majid Shafiee-Jood, University of Virginia, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Charlottesville, United States
Conveners:  Paul Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States, Ximing Cai, University of Illinois, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States, Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States and David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological Univ, Houghton, United States
See more of: Hydrology