A097
Monsoon: Formation, Variability, and Changes in the Future

Session ID#: 72739

Session Description:
Monsoon influences approximately two-thirds of the world’s population including their culture and economics. The anomalous behavior of the monsoon can lead to flooding, droughts, heat waves, and compounding economic losses that, in turn, exert profound impacts on human lives. Understanding the formation and variability of monsoon is essential to make skillful predictions, and reasonably projecting the changes of monsoon in the future climate is paramount to engage in appropriate adaptions.

This session welcomes contributions on all aspects of monsoon climate to share the recent advances in the formation, variability, and projection of the global monsoon in different regions or as a whole. Contributions including, but not limited to, observation, diagnosis, theory, modeling, prediction, and projection of the global monsoon system are highly encouraged.

Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3309 Climatology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3319 General circulation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Primary Convener:  Lin Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Conveners:  Yu Kosaka, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Sarah M Kang, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Korea, Republic of (South) and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States
Primary Liaison:  Lin Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Respective Roles of the ENSO and East Asian Winter Monsoon on Persistence of the Anomalous Western North Pacific Anticyclone and Their Mechanisms (486771)
Yu Tiantian, Beijing, Beijing, China
 
Month-to-month variability of winter temperature over Northeast China linked to sea ice over the Davis Strait–Baffin Bay and the Barents–Kara Sea (487608)
Ke Fan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Northward Extension of the East Asian Summer Monsoon during the Mid-Holocene (490547)
Jinling Piao, Beijing, Beijing, China
 
Interdecadal variations of the East Asian winter monsoon in CMIP5 preindustrial simulations (491927)
Jiapeng Miao1,2, Tao Wang1 and Wang Huijun1,3, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (3)Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
 
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Variability of Desert-Monsoon Climate Subsystem: A New Perspective (499302)
William K-M Lau, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, Kyu-Myong Kim, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Chun Zhao, PNNL / Climate Physics, Richland, WA, United States and L. Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Distinct Effects of Winter Monsoon and Westerly Circulation on Dust Aerosol Transport over East Asia (504325)
Yang LIU1, Sun Hui1, Zhengguo Shi1, Xiaoning Xie1, Xinzhou Li1, Xiaodong Liu1 and Zhisheng An2, (1)IEE Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China, (2)State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China
 
Dominant modes of the cold­­­­­­­-season and warm-season surface air temperature variability over Central Asia and their linkages with large-scale atmospheric circulations (505431)
Yuanhuang Zhuang1, Jingyong Zhang2 and Lingyun Wu1, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)IAP Insititute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Intensified multi-decadal variability on North American Monsoon (NAM) Summer precipitation related to AMO as well as Monsoon high pressure system (507596)
Shanru Tian1, Kathleen M Smits1, David R Legates2 and Weichen Tao3, (1)University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, (2)University of Delaware, Geography, Newark, DE, United States, (3)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
 
Footprints of Tropical Cyclones in Climate Variability (511788)
Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Research Center for Environmental Changes Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
 
The role of synoptic-scale waves in the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon (513186)
Jing-Liang Huangfu, Beijing, China
 
The Bridging Role of Eurasian Winter Snow in the Relationship between East Asian Winter and Summer Monsoons (520839)
Mengmeng Lu1,2, Zhiming Kuang2, Song Yang1, Zhenning Li1 and Hanjie Fan1, (1)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Guangzhou, China, (2)Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Revisiting the Linear Instability View of the South Asian Monsoon Onset (523734)
Olawale James Ikuyajolu1,2 and Yi Deng2, (1)Georgia Institute of Technology, Program in Ocean Science & Engineering, Atlanta, GA, United States, (2)Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States
 
Shifts in the mean and extreme precipitation at the end-of-century in the South American Monsoon as projected by the CESM Large Ensemble (523899)
Ana Cláudia Thomé Sena and Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
 
Different Impacts of the East Asian Winter Monsoon on the Surface Air Temperature in North America during ENSO and Neutral ENSO years (526963)
Tianjiao MA, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China and Wen Chen, Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Origins of East Asian Summer Monsoon Seasonality (527776)
John C H Chiang, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Chi-Hua Wu, Academia Sinica, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Taipei, Taiwan, Wenwen Kong, University of California Berkeley, Geography, Berkeley, CA, United States and David Battisti, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
 
The Central Indian Ocean Mode Simulation in the S2S Models (528300)
Jianhuang Qin, Shanghai, Shanghai, China and Lei Zhou, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Institute of Oceanography, Shanghai, China
 
Sensitivity of Monsoon Depression Growth to Horizontal and Vertical Shear (529696)
Michael Diaz and William R Boos, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Mechanisms for the Formation of Eastern China Summer Rainfall Patterns (531484)
Yawen Duan, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate–Environment for Temperate East Asia (RCE-TEA), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Ma Zhuguo, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China, Peili Wu, Hadley Centre Met Office, Exter, United Kingdom and Xiaolong Chen, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS, LASG, Beijing, China
 
Impact of the air-sea interaction on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in AGCM simulation (533066)
Yumi KIM, Kongju National University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Gongju, Korea, Republic of (South) and Eun-Chul Chang, Kongju National University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Gongju, South Korea
 
Jet-precipitation relation associated with EASM: seeking physical ground to assess the future projection of mei-yu / baiu rainband (534930)
Takeshi Horinouchi, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, Yukari N Takayabu, AORI/University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan, Yoshio Kawatani, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan, Tomoaki Ose, Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan, Naoki Sato, Tokyo Gakugei University, Koganei, Tokyo, Japan and Ryosuke Shibuya, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan
 
The British-Baikal Corridor: A Teleconnection Pattern along the Summertime Polar Front Jet over Eurasia (537131)
Peiqiang Xu1, Lin Wang2 and Wen Chen1, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China, (2)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Investigation on the Three-Dimensional Structure of Heating of Summer Monsoon during Excess and Deficit Monsoon Years over Gangetic West Bengal (550594)
Debanjana Das, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, David M Straus, George Mason Univ, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, Fairfax, VA, United States, Sutapa Chaudhuri, University of Calcutta, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Kolkata, India, Erik Swenson, George Mason University Fairfax, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA, United States and Paramita Mandal, University of Calcutta, Kolkata, India
 
Investigating the Characteristics of Future North American Monsoon Temperature and Precipitation (562940)
Sung Min Kim, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, NY, United States and Richard B Neale, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
 
The origin of the East Asian summer monsoon (Invited) (569428)
Kyong-Hwan Seo, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Jun-Hyeok Son, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea and Bin Wang, Univ Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, United States
 
Diversity of the Pacific–Japan Pattern among CMIP5 Models: Role of SST Anomalies and Atmospheric Mean Flow (574166)
Gong Hainan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
 
Historical and future intra-seasonal variability of Australian monsoon rainfall (578383)
Aurel F Moise, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia, Robert Colman, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Josephine Brown, University of Melbourne, School of Earth Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Melbourne, VIC, Australia and Sugata Narsey, Monash University, Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
 
The role of remote versus local diabatic forcing for the TEJ variability over West Africa on interannual time scales (582899)
Alexander Lemburg, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and Juergen Bader, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, The Land in the Earth System, Hamburg, Germany
 
Characteristics of moisture sources during South Asian summer monsoon and their representation in CMIP6 GCMs (584338)
Moetasim Ashfaq, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
 
Interaction of Convective Organisation with Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea: the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign in India (593389)
Andrew G Turner1, G S Bhat2, Gill Martin3, Douglas J Parker4, Christopher Taylor5, Ashis K. Mitra6, Sachchida Nand Tripathi7, Sean Milton8, E N Rajagopal6, Jonathan G Evans9, Ross Morrison5, Sekhar Muddu10, Bimal Kumar Bhattacharya11, Ranju Madan12, G Mrudula13, Jennifer Kathleen Fletcher14, Kieran Hunt1, Arathy Menon15, John H Marsham16 and the INCOMPASS team, (1)University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (2)Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India, (3)Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, ICAS, Leeds, United Kingdom, (5)Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (6)National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Noida, India, (7)Indian Inst Technology, Department of Civil Engineering, Kanpur, India, (8)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (9)CEH, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (10)Indian Institute of Science, Department of Civil Engineering, Bangalore, India, (11)Indian Space Research Organization- Space Applications Center, Ahemadabad, India, (12)Indian Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India, (13)CSIR-National Aerospace Laboratories, Bangalore, India, (14)National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Leeds, United Kingdom, (15)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (16)University of Leeds, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Leeds, United Kingdom
 
Interannual variability of the East Asian winter monsoon and its impact in observations and CMIP5 models (Invited) (626786)
Wen Chen, Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Multidecadal fluctuation of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation pattern and its influences on the climate (630209)
Lin Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
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