GC028
Advances in understanding impacts of land use and land cover change in a changing climate using Earth system records and models

Session ID#: 73951

Session Description:
Earth system models are effective tools to assess LULCC impacts in a changing climate by incorporating a broad range of relevant processes, such as the transitions between natural and managed land use types, urbanization, and ecosystem dynamics following disturbances. While they have paved the way toward elucidating the role of LULCC in modulating biogeophysical and biogeochemical feedbacks in the Earth system, they are yet to be improved by integrating with observations and data-assimilated Earth system records. We seek contributions on, but not limited to, quantifying the effects of LULCC on water/carbon/nutrient cycling, the water-food-energy dynamics, and regional and the global climate using Earth system records and/or models. Studies on developing Earth system records and projections (e.g., the Land Use Model Intercomparison Project), high-resolution modeling of individual processes, validation and verification tools, and coupling frameworks that advance scientific understanding and improve fidelity of ESMs in quantifying LULCC effects, are strongly encouraged.
Co-Organized:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1632 Land cover change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1655 Water cycles [GLOBAL CHANGE]


Primary Convener:  Maoyi Huang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Convener:  Dan Li, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Dan Li, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
 
GlobeLand30 Maps Show Four Times Larger Gross Than Net Land Change From 2000 To 2010 In Asia (486487)
Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr, Clark University, Geography, Worcester, MA, United States, Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam, Tarbiat Modares University, Department of GIS and Remote Sensing, Tehran, Iran, Masoud Minaei, Ferdowsi University, Department of Geography, Mashhad, Iran and Yongjiu Feng, Tongji University, College of Surveying and Geo-informatics, Shanghai, China
 
Evidence-based assessment of the biophysical impacts of land use/land cover change under global warming (Invited) (488938)
Alessandro Cescatti, Ramdane Alkama, Gregory Duveiller and Giovanni Forzieri, European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
 
Advancing our understanding of the impacts of historic and projected land use in the Earth System: The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) (493015)
David M Lawrence, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, George C Hurtt, University of Maryland, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States and Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Neglecting irrigation contributes to climate model summertime warm-and-dry biases in the central United States (497803)
Yun Qian1, Zhao Yang2, Zhe Feng1, Ying Liu1, William I Gustafson Jr2, Larry K Berg2, Maoyi Huang3, Ben Yang4 and Hsi-Yen Ma5, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States, (3)Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States, (4)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (5)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
 
Implications of bioenergy crop expansion on water availability and nitrogen loading over the conterminous United States (499467)
Yanyan Cheng1, Min Chen2, Maoyi Huang3, Gautam Bisht4, Eva Sinha4, Chris R Vernon5 and Neal T Graham6, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States, (6)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
 
Assessing Global and Regional Effects of Reconstructed Land Use and Land Cover Change since 1950 on Climate using a Coupled Land-atmosphere-ocean Model (500221)
Huilin Huang1, Yongkang Xue2,3, Nagaraju Chilukoti2, Ye Liu2 and Gang Chen4, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (4)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States
 
Impacts of land use land cover changes over East Asia (500826)
Ui-Yong Byun and Eun-Chul Chang, Kongju National University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Gongju, South Korea
 
Land use and land cover changes strongly modulate warm-season precipitation over the Central United States (503814)
Maoyi Huang1, Anjana Devanand2, David M Lawrence3, Colin M. Zarzycki4, Zhe Feng1 and Peter Lawrence3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Mapping global land change from 1982 to 2016 (505401)
Xiao-Peng Song1, Matthew Hansen2, Stephen V. Stehman3, Peter Potapov2, Alexandra Tyukavina2, Eric Vermote4 and John R Townshend5, (1)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Terrestrial Information Systems Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)University of Maryland, Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States
 
Analyzing Dynamic Relationship between Urban Morphology and Land Surface Temperature (506224)
Anugya Shukla, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India and Kamal Jain, Professor, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India
 
The Impact of the Flooding of a Depression East of the Caspian Sea on the Regional Environment (512465)
Oliver Branch1, Volker Wulfmeyer1, Serik Burkitbayev2 and Murat Seitenov2, (1)University of Hohenheim, Institute of Physics and Meteorology, Stuttgart, Germany, (2)Institute Technology Holding, Almaty, Kazakhstan
 
Similar sensitivities but different responses of land surface temperature to deforestation in two global earth system models (513355)
Weilin Liao1, Xiaoping Liu2, Elizabeth Burakowski3, Dagang Wang2, Linying Wang4 and Dan Li5, (1)Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China, (3)University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States, (4)Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, (5)Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
 
Bioenergy Crops Modeling in a Global Vegetation Model (514309)
Wei Li, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China and Philippe Ciais, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France
 
Projected Changes in the Terrestrial and Oceanic Regulators of Climate Variability Across Sub-Saharan Africa (523539)
Michael Notaro1, Fuyao Wang1, Yan Yu2 and Jiafu Mao3, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Nelson Institute Center for Climatic Research, Madison, WI, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
 
The regionally varying effects of forests on cloud cover based on satellite observations (529423)
Ru Xu and Yan Li, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
 
Influence of Vegetation on the Local Climate and Hydrology in the Loess Plateau of China (532283)
Linjing Qiu, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China and Yiping Wu, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences, Xi'an, China
 
Using the CESM to Evaluate Land Carbon Mitigation Potentials of Global Reforestation and Afforestation (534110)
Peter Lawrence1, Deborah Lawrence2, David M Lawrence1, Anton Seimon3 and Stephanie Anna Roe2, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Virginia, Environmental Sciences, Charlottesville, VA, United States, (3)Appalachian State University, Geography and Planning, Boone, NC, United States
 
Using the CLMU Urban Model as a Tool for Assessing Potential Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Urban Areas Globally (544026)
Johannes J Feddema, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada and Keith W Oleson, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Escalation of Future River Nitrogen Pollution under Land Use and Emission Scenarios based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (544302)
Minjin Lee1, Elena Shevliakova2, Charles A Stock3, Sergey Malyshev3 and P C D Milly4, (1)Princeton University, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)USGS, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Land use and land cover change altered terrestrial water cycle and ecosystem dynamics in the conterminous United States over the past two decades (545034)
Min Chen, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, Maoyi Huang, Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States, Eva Sinha, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, Yanyan Cheng, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Richland, WA, United States and Chris R Vernon, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States
 
Global Land Cover mapping and Estimation (GLanCE): a multitemporal Landsat-based data record of 21st century global land cover, land use and land cover change (553803)
Katelyn Tarrio1, Mark A Friedl1, Curtis E Woodcock1, Pontus Olofsson1, Konrad Turlej1, Zhe Zhu2, Thomas R Loveland3, Eric Bullock1, Paulo Arturo Arevalo1, Chris Holden1, Valerie J Pasquarella1 and Yingtong Zhang1, (1)Boston University, Earth and Environment, Boston, MA, United States, (2)University of Connecticut, Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, Storrs, CT, United States, (3)USGS EROS Data Ctr, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
 
The Impact of Landuse Change on Regional Climate in Western Canada Simulated by a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model (555759)
Zhenhua Li1, Yanping Li1, Zhe Zhang1 and Alan Barr2, (1)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (2)Environment Canada, Climate Research Division, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
 
Can land management alter ecoclimate teleconnections across North America in the face of forest die-off? (556918)
Xiao Feng1, Abigail L. S. Swann2, David D Breshears3, Marysa M Lague4, Jason P Field3, Darin Law3, Aaron Lien5, TaKen Huang5, Jonathan Derbridge5, Elizabeth Baldwin5, Jose R Soto5 and Laura Lopez-Hoffman1, (1)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences and Biology, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)University of Arizona, School of Natural Resources and the Environment, Tucson, AZ, United States, (4)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, (5)University of Arizona, Tucson, United States
 
Impacts of four land-use products on the simulation of land surface temperature in east China (570134)
Yongjie Pan, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China, Yanhong Gao, CAREERI, Lanzhou, China and Xia Li, old and Arid Regions Environmental & Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China
 
Model intercomparison of climatic effects of idealized global deforestation experiments (573853)
Victor Brovkin1, Lena Boysen1, Julia Pongratz2, Nicolas Vuichard3, Philippe P Peylin3 and David M Lawrence4, (1)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (2)Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany, (3)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Economic Potential for Using Marginal Land for Bioenergy Crop Production in the US (587415)
Deepayan Debnath, Urbana, IL, United States, Luoye Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, Urbana, IL, United States, Madhu Khanna, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Agriculture and Consumer Economics, Urbana, IL, United States, Chongya Jiang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States and Kaiyu Guan, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States
 
Land-Use Harmonization 2: New Features and New Scenarios (592312)
Louise P Chini1, George C Hurtt2, Ritvik Sahajpal3, Steve E Frolking4, Benjamin Bodirsky5, Katherine V Calvin6, Jonathan C. Doelman7, Justin Fisk8, Katja Frieler5, Shinichiro Fujimori9, Kees Goldewijk10, Tomoko Hasegawa9, Petr Havlik11, Andreas Heinimann12, Florian Humpenöder5, Johann Jungclaus13, Jed O Kaplan14, HyeJin Kim15, Tamas Krisztin11, David M Lawrence16, Peter Lawrence16, Paul Leadley17, Lei Ma3, Ole Mertz18, Lesley E Ott19, Henrique Miguel Pereira15, Julia Pongratz13, Alexander Popp5, Benjamin Poulter20, Keywan Riahi21, Elena Shevliakova22, Stephen Sitch23, Elke Stehfest24, Peter E Thornton25, Detlef van Vuuren7 and Xin Zhang26, (1)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (3)University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (4)University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States, (5)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (6)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (7)Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Department of Climate, Air, and Energy, The Hague, Netherlands, (8)University of Maryland College Park, Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (9)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, Tsukuba, Japan, (10)San Antonio, TX, United States, (11)IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria, (12)University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, (13)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (14)University of Lausanne, Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, Lausanne, Switzerland, (15)Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Halle, Germany, (16)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (17)University of Paris-Sud 11, Orsay, France, (18)University of Copenhagen, København K, Denmark, (19)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (20)NASA GSFC, Biospheric Science, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (21)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (22)Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States, (23)University of Exeter, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (24)Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, Netherlands, (25)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Climate Change Science Institute and Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (26)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Appalachian Laboratory, Frostburg, United States
 
Pacific Trade Winds Accelerated by Deforested Maritime Continent (592682)
TingHui Lee and Min-Hui Lo, National Taiwan University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan
 
Global land use and land cover change effects on runoff based on the E3SM land model (595720)
Xitian Cai1, William J Riley1 and James Tremper Randerson2, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
 
The Impact of Urbanization on Southern California Ecosystems over the Past 100 Years Quantified by Stable Carbon Isotope Analysis (604147)
Maxwell L Pearson1, Jennifer M Cotton2, Tara Smiley3, Erica Loza2, Sara K Thomsen4 and Rebecca C Terry4, (1)California State University Northridge, Northridge, CA, United States, (2)California State University Northridge, Geological Sciences, Northridge, CA, United States, (3)Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, (4)Oregon State University, Integrative Biology, Corvallis, OR, United States
 
Climate change impact on vegetation growth in the humid-arid transition zone in northern China during 1982-2013 (604465)
Shuang-Ye Wu1, Wei Yuan2, Shugui Hou2, Zhiwei Xu3 and Huayu Lu3, (1)University of Dayton, Dayton, OH, United States, (2)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (3)Nanjing University, School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing, China
 
Effects of Local-Scale Land Cover Changes on Characteristics of Urban Atmosphere: A Case Study of the City of Phoenix (605024)
Jimin Chun, Lubbock, Texas, United States, Guofeng Cao, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States and Song-Lak Kang, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Atmospheric & Environmental Sciences, Gangneung-si, South Korea
 
Agriculture increases seasonal drawdown of terrestrial carbon in the Community Land Model (608916)
Danica Lombardozzi1, William R Wieder2, David M Lawrence1, Gretchen Keppel-Aleks3, Xin Lin4, Charles Koven5 and Gordon B Bonan1, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (5)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Linking global and local socio-economic drivers of land use and land cover change in an agent-based model (610525)
Kendra Elena Kaiser1, Alejandro N Flores1 and Vicken Hillis2, (1)Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States, (2)Boise State University, Human-Environment Systems, Boise, ID, United States
 
Hydrological change due to deforestation and urbanization on the West Coast of the United States: Evidence from stable isotopes of small mammals (611321)
Jennifer M Cotton1, Tara Smiley2, Natalie Rose Packard1, Michelle Juliana Jimenez1, Sara K Thomsen3 and Rebecca C Terry3, (1)California State University Northridge, Geological Sciences, Northridge, CA, United States, (2)Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, (3)Oregon State University, Integrative Biology, Corvallis, OR, United States
 
An agent-based assessment of forestland management practices and land cover under dynamic economic and climatic conditions in Western Washington. (619525)
Pranab K Roy Chowdhury and Daniel G Brown, University of Washington Seattle Campus, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States
 
Disentangling warming- from land use-induced precipitation changes over China (619808)
Yaqian He, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States and Justin S Mankin, LDEO of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
 
Potential Natural Vegetation Biases Seasonal but not Annual Estimates of Historical Albedo and Surface Temperature (631121)
Bethany Blakely, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IN, United States, Jason S McLachlan, University of Notre Dame, South Bend, United States and Adrian V Rocha, Univ of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States
 
Identifying the Role of Irrigation in Central Asia on the Precipitation in Northwestern China (631374)
Tzu-Ying Wu and Min-Hui Lo, National Taiwan University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan
 
Impacts of land-use type and intensity on O3 variations in China’s major urban agglomerations (632428)
Dian Huang1, Qinglan Li2 and Shengzhong Feng1, (1)National Supercomputing Shenzhen Center, Shenzhen, China, (2)Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Shenzhen, China