H142
Water and Society: Adaptive Short-Term Management of Coupled Human-Natural Systems Confronting Long-Term Global Change

Session ID#: 74575

Session Description:
The impacts of long-term global change on coupled human-natural systems often manifest themselves as short-term, local adaptation challenges. For example, changes in the frequency and severity of extreme events under climate change will require adaptation of infrastructure and short-term operating policies. These investment and policy decisions must also consider longer-term dynamics of human systems (regulation, economics, land use) that occur simultaneously. Bridging the gap in spatiotemporal scales between exogenous forcing and endogenous system response remains an unresolved scientific challenge, in part because each scale introduces a range of different uncertainties, impeding our ability to simulate coupled systems to inform adaptive planning. Emerging work focuses on developing flexible systems that actively adapt and respond to new information. This session solicits novel contributions in modeling the vulnerability and adaptation of coupled systems to climate change, with a broad focus on water, energy, agricultural, and ecological systems.
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES]

Primary Convener:  Julianne Quinn, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States
Conveners:  Jonathan D Herman, University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States, Matteo Giuliani, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy and Jonathan Lamontagne, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Julianne Quinn, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States
 
Exploring How Reservoir Design and Operational Trade-offs Are Shaped by Information Feedbacks (502058)
Federica Bertoni1, Andrea Castelletti1, Matteo Giuliani2 and Patrick M Reed3, (1)Polytechnic University of Milan, Milan, Italy, (2)Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy, (3)Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States
 
Estimating the added value of seasonal forecasting systems through hydro-economic stochastic programming and model predictive control in the Jucar River Basin (Spain) (502141)
Hector Macian-Sorribes, Universidad Politecnica de Valencia, Valencia, Spain, Patricia Marcos-Garcia, Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering (IIAMA), Universitat Politècnica de València, Washington, United States, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Hydrology Research Unit, Norrköping, Sweden, Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering (IIAMA), Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, Spain and Louise Crochemore, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
 
The Consequences of Compromise: Exploring the Multi-Actor Implications of Robustness Compromises in Regional Water Supply Investment Pathways (516709)
David Gold1, Bernardo Carvalho Trindade1, Patrick M Reed2 and Gregory W Characklis3, (1)Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, (2)Cornell University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States, (3)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
 
Incorporating reservoir operations in long-term integrated human-Earth system models (Invited) (539668)
Mohamad Issa Hejazi, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, University of Houston, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States, Hong-Yi Li, University of Houston, Houston, TX, United States, Chris R Vernon, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States, Sean William Donald Turner, Singapore University of Technology and Design, Engineering Systems and Design, Singapore, Singapore and Neal T Graham, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
 
A hybrid top-down/bottom-up approach to assess the operational flexibility of multipurpose multireservoir systems under climate change (578763)
Caio Santanna, Laval University, Civil and Water Engineering, Quebec, QC, Canada and Amaury Thilmant, Laval University, Civil and Water Engineering, Quebec City, QC, Canada
 
Cascading Effect of ENSO on the Mekong’s Water-Energy Infrastructures: Implications for Water Management (584473)
Stefano Galelli1, A.F.M. Kamal Chowdhury2 and Thanh Duc Dang2, (1)Singapore University of Technology and Design, Engineering Systems, Singpore, Singapore, (2)Singapore University of Technology and Design, Pillar of Engineering Systems and Design, Singapore, Singapore
 
The impact of infrastructure disruptions on households and firms and the economic case for more resilient infrastructure systems (594120)
Julie Rozenberg, World Bank Group, Washington, DC, United States, Stephane Hallegatte, World Bank, Washington, DC, United States and Jun Rentschler, World Bank Group, Washington, United States
 
The Hidden Value of Private Water Markets in Jordan: Simulating Spatial Price Equilibria in a Coupled Hydro-Economic Model (612212)
Christian J. A. Klassert1, Jim Yoon2, Katja Sigel1, Erik Gawel1, Bernd Klauer1, Samer Talozi3, Thibaut Lachaut4, Philip David Selby5, Stephen Knox5, Steven M. Gorelick6, Amaury Thilmant4, Julien J Harou5, Daanish Mustafa7, Josue Medellin-Azuara8, Deepthi Rajsekhar6, Nicolas Avisse9 and Hua Zhang10, (1)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Economics, Leipzig, Germany, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, CA, United States, (3)Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan, (4)Laval University, Civil and Water Engineering, Quebec City, QC, Canada, (5)University of Manchester, School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, Manchester, United Kingdom, (6)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, (7)King's College London, London, United Kingdom, (8)University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States, (9)Laval University, Civil and Water Engineering, Quebec City, Canada, (10)Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, College of Science and Engineering, Corpus Christi, TX, United States
 
Prioritizing and sequencing investments in water supply systems with deep reinforcement learning (619257)
James Doss-Gollin, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States and Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
 
A Risk-Based Decision Support System for Flood Operations of Lake Mendocino in Water Year 2019 (619568)
Chris Delaney1, Michael Konieczki2, Robert Hartman3, John Mendoza1, Jay Jasperse1, F Martin Ralph4 and Cary Talbot5, (1)Sonoma Water, Santa Rosa, CA, United States, (2)HDR Engineering Inc., Sacramento, CA, United States, (3)Robert Hartman Consulting, Folsom, CA, United States, (4)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, La Jolla, CA, United States, (5)Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, United States
 
Recalibrating Water-Year Types in a Changing Climate: Adaptive Hydrologic Classification for the California Water System (627292)
Wyatt Arnold, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States, Jordi P Vasquez and Romain Maendly, California Department of Water Resources, Climate Change Program, Sacramento, CA, United States
 
Reservoir management at multiple scales: Where should we focus most? (Invited) (629164)
Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, WI, United States, Guang Yang, University of Wisconsin Madison, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States, Ying Zhang, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States and Benjamin Zaitchik, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, United States
See more of: Hydrology
<< Previous Session Proposal | Next Session Proposal >>