GC043
Improving the Simulation of Climate Impacts on Agriculture: AgMIP and Related Research

Session ID#: 77381

Session Description:
Agricultural models simulate the effects of climate on crop yields, farm income, and trade, making them important tools for examining food security. This session will focus on research at the interface of climate, agriculture, and economics, including results from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). Topics of particular interest are agricultural projections at local to global scales; interactions between climate and croplands; tradeoffs between food security, environment, and society; remote sensing of agricultural lands and data assimilation; seasonal crop monitoring and forecasting; the food-energy-water nexus; and strategies and innovations for agricultural sector adaptation and mitigation.
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Primary Convener:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
Conveners:  Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, New York, NY, United States, Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, Earth and Environmental Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States and Roberto O Valdivia, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
Primary Liaison:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
 
Food System Perspective in the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Land (Invited) (500101)
Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
 
Modeling the Productivity of Biomass Sorghum in the Rain-Fed United States (503453)
Josh Bendorf, Andy VanLoocke and Emily Heaton, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States
 
Statistical Emulators of Irrigated Crop Yields and Irrigation Water Requirements (504306)
Elodie Blanc, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Simulating the impacts of climate change and farm-level adaptation strategies on rice yields in India and Vietnam (515277)
Mohan Geetha, United Nations University Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU-IAS), Tokyo, Japan, Hirotaka Matsuda, Tokyo University of Agriculture, Tokyo, Japan, Indrek Melts, Estonian University of Life Science, Tartu, Estonia, Sekiyama Makiko, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tokyo, Japan, Thi Lang Nguyen, HATRI, Can Tho, Vietnam, Amarender Reddy Anugu, ICAR-Central Research Institute for Dryland Agriculture, Hyderabad, India and Fukushi Kensuke, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
 
Global irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield (516981)
Xuhui Wang1, Shilong Piao1, Feng Zhou2, Chenzhi Wang1, Hui Yang3 and Philippe Ciais4, (1)Peking University, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)Peking University, China, Beijing, China, (3)Peking University, Beijing, China, (4)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France
 
Where’s the Paddy Now? Examining the Effect of Dams in Dry Season Rice Production in Tonle Sap Lake (522733)
Manuel Marcaida III, Student, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Yasmine Farhat, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, United States, Faisal Hossain, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA, Seattle, United States, Rebecca Bergquist Neumann, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Soo-Hyung Kim, University of Washington, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, Center for Urban Horticulture, Seattle, United States
 
Warming Temperatures Lead to Increased Groundwater Depletion in India (546913)
Nishan Bhattarai1, David B Lobell2, Balwinder Singh3, Ram Fishman4 and Meha Jain1, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, School for Environment and Sustainability, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)CSISA-CIMMYT, New Delhi, India, (4)Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
 
Future climate change decreases benefits from irrigation for global food production (572098)
Masashi Okada1, Toshichika Iizumi2 and Yasuaki Hijioka1, (1)NIES National Institute of Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan, (2)NIAES-NARO, Tsukuba, Japan
 
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Developing Management Strategies for Pigeon Pea Crop in Agro Climatic Zones of India (574378)
R K MALL, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 221, India, Geetika Sonkar and Ram Kumar Singh, TERI School of Advance Studies, Department of Natural Resources, New delhi, India
 
Consumptive water footprint of rice for diverse water managements using APSIM under climate change (579219)
Amit Biswas, Research Scholar, Agricultural and Food Engineering, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India and Damodhara Rao Mailapalli, Assistant Professor, Agricultural and Food Engineering, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India
 
Simulating the effects of large-scale reduction in the use of nitrogen fertilizers over Europe on biodiversity and the ecosystem production and carbon (582983)
Narayanappa Devaraju1, Rémi Prudhomme2, Anna Lungarska3, Xuhui Wang4, Zun Yin5, Omar Alaoui6, Nathalie De Noblet-Decoudre7, Raja Chakir3, Thierry Brunelle2, Nicolas Viovy8 and Philippe Ciais5, (1)IPSL/LSCE (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement), CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR, L'Orme des Merisiers, Gif sur Yvette Cedex, France, (2)Cirad, UMR CIRED, 94736 Nogent-sur-Marne, France, (3)Économie Publique, INRA, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay,, Thiverval-Grignon, France, (4)Peking University, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China, (5)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (6)LSCE/IPSL, Gif Sur Yvette, France, (7)IPSL/LSCE (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement), CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (8)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France
 
Assessing the Influence Climate and Aerosols on Indian Wheat Crop: A study over Wheat Growing Zones of India (583291)
Geetika Sonkar1, Rajesh Mall2, Tirthankar Banerjee3, Nidhi Singh2, T.V Lakshmi Kumar4 and Ramesh Chand2, (1)Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 221, India, (2)Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India, (3)Institute of Environment & Sustainable Development, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India, (4)SRM UNIVERSITY, DEPARTMENT OF PHYSICS, Chennai, India
 
Climate Change Risk on Cereal Production in the Euro-Mediterranean Area (587047)
Valentina Mereu1,2, José Maria Costa Saura1,2, Antonio Trabucco1,2 and Donatella Spano1,2, (1)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (2)University of Sassari, Department of Agriculture, Sassari, Italy
 
High Yield Regions Move Poleward Less Than Expected Under Climate Change in Globally-Gridded Crop Simulations (587134)
James A Franke1, Christoph Mueller2, Joshua Wright Elliott3, Jonas Jägermeyr4,5, Alexander C Ruane4 and Elisabeth J Moyer1, (1)University of Chicago, Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (3)University of Chicago, Computation Institute, Chicago, IL, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (5)University of Chicago, Department of Computer Science, Chicago, United States
 
Evaluating the ERA5 reanalysis dataset in the context of weather index-based insurance in sub-Saharan Africa (589860)
Simon Moulds, Imperial College London, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, United Kingdom, Charles Zogheib, Imperial College London, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, SW7, United Kingdom and Wouter Buytaert, Imperial College London, Civil and Environmental Engineering & Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment, London, United Kingdom
 
Simulating Dryland Cotton and Sorghum Production over the U.S. Southern High Plains (594524)
Steven A Mauget1, Gary W. Marek2, Pradip Adhikari3, Gary Leiker4, James Mahan4, Paxton Payton4, Srinivasalu Ale5, Chad Hayes6, Yves Emendack7, Zhanguo Xin8, Kritika Kothari9 and R. L. Baumhardt10, (1)USDA ARS, Lubbock, TX, United States, (2)USDA ARS, Conservation and Production Research Laboratory, Bushland, TX, United States, (3)Idaho State Department of Agriculture, Boise, ID, United States, (4)USDA-ARS Cropping Systems Research Lab, Lubbock, TX, United States, (5)Texas A&M University, Dept of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Vernon, TX, United States, (6)USDA-ARS Plains Area, Cropping Systems Research Lab, Lubbock, TX, United States, (7)USDA-ARS, Cropping Systems Research Lab, Lubbock, United States, (8)USDA-ARS, Cropping Systems Research Lab, Lubbock, TX, United States, (9)Texas A&M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States, (10)USDA-ARS, Conservation and Production Research Laboratory, Bushland, TX, United States
 
Climate impact on US Potato yield, water demand and nutrient uptake (599887)
Chuang Zhao1, Claudio Stockle2, Tina Karimi3, Roger Nelson2, Frits van Evert4, Annette Pronk4, Anne A. Riddle5, Elizabeth Marshall5, Rubí Raymundo6, Yan Li7, Kaiyu Guan8, Dave Gustafson9, Gerrit Hoogenboom1 and Senthold Asseng1, (1)University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, (2)Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States, (3)Washington State University, Biological Systems Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (4)Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands, (5)U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, United States, (6)University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, United States, (7)Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, (8)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States, (9)ILSI Research Foundation, St. Louis, MO, United States
 
Assessment of Agriculture Net Primary Productivity Vulnerability based on JULES Simulation model under Climate Change Scenarios for the year 2050 SAARC Nations (603174)
Ram Kumar Singh, TERI School of Advance Studies, Department of Natural Resources, New delhi, India, Vinay SP Sinha, TERI School of Advance studies, New Delhi, India and Manoj Kumar, Forest Research Institute, Dehradun, India
 
Modeling nonlinear crop responses to climate variability in the US Using a Bayesian Approach (612312)
Tongxi Hu, The Ohio State University, Environmental Science Graduate Program, Columbus, OH, United States
 
Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Opportunities In Fruit and Vegetable Supply Chains (624608)
Dave Gustafson, Self Employed, Washington, DC, United States and Senthold Asseng, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
 
Meeting the ambition of the Paris Agreement: Is it economical to invest in agricultural GHG mitigation? (628951)
Jennifer Carroll, National Science Foundation, Alexandria, VA, United States and Adam Daigneault, University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States
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