A009
Asian Monsoon Variability in a Changing Climate

Session ID#: 77793

Session Description:
About two-thirds of South and Southeast Asian work force participate in agriculture. As such, monsoon has a tremendous socioeconomic impact in the region with imprints in water resources, agriculture, food production and hydro power generation. Despite sustained forecasting efforts over a century, accurate predictions of spatial distribution of monsoon precipitation variability from subseasonal to seasonal time scales remains elusive.  This challenge is even more pressing as this variability is expected to change with global warming. This session invites papers on all aspects of  Asian monsoon variability, and the impact of climate change on such variability.  Papers discussing observed variability in a changing climate, predictability at intraseasonal to interannual time scales, model intercomparison and projections of future changes in monsoon variability are particularly welcome. This session hopes to bring attention to recent developments and outstanding challenges ahead for understanding and predicting the monsoon in a changing climate.
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3314 Convective processes [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3373 Tropical dynamics [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]


Primary Convener:  Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and Annamalai
Conveners:  H Annamalai, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, Yoshiyuki Kajikawa, AICS, RIKEN, Kobe,, Japan and Annamalai
Primary Liaison:  Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and Annamalai
 
Is the Atlantic Nino an emerging source of Indian summer monsoon variability in a warming world? (487211)
Sabeerali Cherumadanakadan Thelliyil1, Ajaya Mohan Ravindran1, Hamza Kunhu Bangalath1 and Nan Chen2, (1)New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, (2)University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, United States
 
Shortening of Indian summer monsoon season in a warming scenario (490598)
Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and C.T. Sabeerali, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
 
Assessment of Air Sea Fluxes for the Northward Propagation of Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Indian region by CMIP5 Models (501676)
Gopi Nadh Konda, Rourkela, Odisha, India and Naresh Krishna Vissa, Asst. Professor, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, National Institute of Technology Rourkela, Rourkela, India
 
Ocean Parameterizations Affect the Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation in Coupled Climate Models (513958)
Patrick Orenstein1, Baylor Fox-Kemper1, Leah Johnson1 and Qing Li2, (1)Brown University, Providence, RI, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States
 
How does global warming affect the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation? (514355)
Kwang-Yul Kim, Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
 
Distinguishing Climatological Atmosphere Circulation Features in the Occurrence of Heavy Precipitation Events during Existence and Non-Existence of Atmospheric Rivers during Summer Monsoon Over West Coast of India (516931)
Douluri Dhana Laskhmi and A N V Satyanarayana, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences, Kharagpur, India
 
Automated identification of South Asian monsoon low pressure systems: Historical variations across reanalysis products (526986)
Vishnu Sasidharan Nair, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, William R Boos, University of California Berkeley, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Berkeley, CA, United States, Paul Aaron Ullrich, Univ California Davis, Fremont, CA, United States and Travis Allen O'Brien, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Topographic and resolution impact on the monsoon rainfall in dynamical downscaling simulation (529086)
Yoshiyuki Kajikawa, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan and Tsuyoshi Yamaura, RIKEN AICS, Kobe, Japan
 
Understanding the Synoptic and Climatic Factors that Lead to the 2018 Kerala Floods (540166)
Kieran Hunt, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom and Andrew G Turner, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
 
On the Causes of Poleward Shift of the Indian Summer Monsoon Low Level Jetstream (543115)
Krishna M Achutarao1, Sandeep Sukumaran2 and Arulalan T1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, New Delhi, India
 
Influence of dry air intrusion from the Middle East on Indian summer monsoon variability (543437)
Sandeep Sukumaran and Rahul Singh, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, New Delhi, India
 
The Indian Ocean-origin seasonal rainfall predictability in the South and Southeastern Asian summer monsoons (548623)
Yuhei Takaya, Meteorological Research Institute, Climate Research Department, Ibaraki, Japan
 
Modeling Asian monsoon precipitation climatology: Representation of air-sea interactions over the tropical Indian Ocean (549487)
H Annamalai, University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC, Honolulu, HI, United States, Bunmei Taguchi, JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan, Franziska Stefanie Hanf, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany and Julian P McCreary Jr, Univ of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, United States
 
Two Branches of Indian Summer Monsoon under Climate Change: Dynamics of Outgoing Longwave Radiation (551213)
Nitin Babu George1, Elena Surovyatkina2,3 and Jurgen Kurths1,4, (1)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Complex Systems, Potsdam, Germany, (3)Space Research Institute RAS, Space Dynamics and Data Analysis Department, Moscow, Russia, (4)Humboldt University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
 
Changes in the La Niña Teleconnection to the Indian Summer Monsoon During Recent Decades (569981)
Aneesh S, Space Physics Laboratory, VSSC, ISRO, Trivandrum, India and S Sijikumar, Space Physics Laboratory, Vikram Sarabhai Space Center, ISRO, Trivandrum, India
 
Characterizing the multi-stage evolution of interannual East Asian summer monsoon variability (571764)
Hyoeun Oh, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South) and Kyung-Ja Ha, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea
 
Changes of the East Asia Summer Monsoon Precipitation Over Northeast Asia in Projected Future Climate Scenario (574550)
Dong Hyun Jang, Eun-Chul Chang and Ui-Yong Byun, Kongju National University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Gongju, South Korea
 
Revisiting the ENSO-monsoon relationship (574944)
Effy B John1, Francis A Pavanathara1 and Ramakrishna Ssvs2, (1)Indian National Center for Ocean Information Services, Hyderabad, India, (2)Andhra University, Department of Meteorology and Oceanography, Visakhapatnam, India
 
Change of Rainfall Characteristics in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka using more than 100-years Record (575143)
Masashi Kiguchi1, Naoko Okami2, Fumie Murata3, Masahiro Tanoue4, Azusa Fukushima5, Yusuke Yamane6, Toru Terao7, Taiichi Hayashi8, Taikan Oki4, Tomoshige Inoue9 and Jun Matsumoto9, (1)University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Japan, (2)University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Kochi University, Kochi, Japan, (4)The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, (5)Kobe Gakuin University, Kobe, Japan, (6)Tokoha University, Shizuoka, Japan, (7)Kagawa University, Kagawa, Japan, (8)Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, (9)Tokyo Metropolitan University, Tokyo, Japan
 
Two Distinct Types of Indian Summer Monsoon Droughts (583232)
Pritam Jyoti Borah1, Venugopal Vuruputur1, Jai Sukhatme1, Pranesh Muddebihal1 and Bhupendra Nath Goswami2, (1)Indian Institute of Science, Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, Bangalore, India, (2)Cotton college State University, Physics, Guwahati, India
 
Modulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Seasonal Prediction Skill by Prescribing Interanual varying CO2 (585780)
Suryachandra Rao Anguluri, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India and Bappaditya Nag, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Monsoon Mission, Pune, India
 
Intraseasonal Interactions between Tropical and Extratropical Circulations around the Tibetan Plateau and Their Impacts on the Extreme Yangtze Floods (586518)
Jiangyu MAO, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China and Jianying Li, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
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