GC085
Towards an Assessment of Global Change Impacts that Better Accounts for Extreme Events
Towards an Assessment of Global Change Impacts that Better Accounts for Extreme Events
Session ID#: 78546
Session Description:
Policy relevant global change science seeks to couple physical changes and human and natural system changes in an integrated view of the consequences, risks and costs of future alternative emission pathways, in order to better characterize the impacts of climate change and the benefits of mitigation. Models quantifying future impacts are just starting to reckon with the need of including the effects of extreme events, which cause more damages and are changing more rapidly than mean quantities in many cases.
In this session we seek contributions from studies that are quantifying the effects of extreme events on human and natural systems, either through econometric or process models. Our focus is on the quantification aspects, as we hope to make progress towards the inclusion of extreme events into economic and other integrated modeling systems, like IAMs, thus facilitating more complete analyses of future scenarios in the context of societal development.
Index Terms:
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4321 Climate impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Claudia Tebaldi, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Conveners: Sonia I Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland and Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Primary Liaison: Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
See more of: Global Environmental Change
