GC022
Correlated Climate Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms, and Risks
Session ID#: 80112
Session Description:
Climate extremes that occur near-simultaneously in time and/or space can pose amplified risks for societies, exemplified by the mortality and agricultural losses from summer 2018’s co-occurring heat and flood events across the Northern Hemisphere. Such spatiotemporally correlated climate extremes belong to three categories: (i) compound extremes (multiple variables, same time and place); (ii) concurrent extremes (same time, multiple places); (iii) sequential or persistent extremes (multiple times, same place). Their complex nature and severe impacts require joint efforts from a broad range of scientific communities to understand and mitigate their hazards, especially in a changing climate. Correlational framing provides a basis for linking hazard-relevant research across disciplines and scales, from meteorology to decadal variability. We invite contributions that assess the risk of correlated climate extremes through evaluation of their dynamical, hydrological, and/or land-surface mechanisms, as well as innovative modeling or statistics that improve their detection, attribution, or future projections.
Index Terms:
1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4306 Multihazards [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Colin Raymond, Columbia University of New York City, New York, NY, United States
Conveners: Kai Kornhuber, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, Radley M Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States and Jakob Zscheischler, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Primary Liaison: Colin Raymond, Columbia University of New York City, New York, NY, United States
Wildfire and heat stress risk: mapping as a tool to improve evidence-based decision making for concurrent hazards (487205)
Claudia Di Napoli1,2, Claudia Vitolo1, Francesca Di Giuseppe1, Hannah L Cloke2 and Florian Pappenberger1, (1)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Land-atmosphere feedbacks exacerbate concurrent soil drought and atmospheric aridity (491574)
Sha Zhou, Columbia University of New York, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Park Williams, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Alexis M Berg, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, Benjamin Cook, NASA-GISS, New York, NY, United States, Yao Zhang, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia University, New York, United States, Stefan Hagemann, Heimholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany, Ruth Lorenz, ETH Zurich, Zurich, NY, Switzerland, Sonia I Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland and Pierre Gentine, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
DeepClimGAN: A High-Resolution Climate Data Generator with Space, Time, and Inter-Variable Correlation (499421)
Alexandra Puchko1, Abigail Snyder2, Ben Kravitz3, Brian Hutchinson1 and Robert P Link4, (1)Western Washington University, Computer Science, Bellingham, WA, United States, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Marine Heatwaves over East Asian Marginal Seas Driven by Two Pacific Ocean Modes (504789)
Seonju Lee1, Myung-Sook Park2, MinHo Kwon3, Young Ho Kim4 and Youngkyu Park3, (1)Yeongdo-gu, Busan, South Korea, (2)Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Korea Ocean Satellite Center, Busan, South Korea, (3)KIOST Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South), (4)Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology, Busan, South Korea
Compound Temperature and Precipitation Shifts in Historical and Historical Natural-Only Model Simulations (505437)
Felicia Chiang1, Peter Greve2, Omid Mazdiyasni1, Ted Veldkamp3, Yoshihide Wada4 and Amir AghaKouchak5, (1)University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (3)Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands, (4)International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (5)University of California, Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States
A global system for monitoring and prediction of the occurrence and severity of compound dry-hot events (533129)
Zengchao Hao1, Fanghua Hao1, Youlong Xia2, Xuan Zhang1 and Vijay P. Singh3, (1)Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, (2)I. M. System Group at Environmental Modeling Center, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Texas A&M University, College Station, United States
The 2018 European Heatwave. (536264)
LIU Xuebang, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, Bin He, Beijing Normal University, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing, China and Lanlan Guo, Beijing Normal University, Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, School of Geography, Beijing, China
Observation, Attribution and Projection of Summertime Compound Hot Extremes (576258)
Yang Chen1,2, Baiquan Zhou1,2, Jun Wang3, Panmao Zhai1,4, Simon FB Tett5 and Wilfran Moufouma-Okia6, (1)Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)IPCC WG1 Technical Support Unit, Beijing, China, (3)Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia (RCE-TEA), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (4)IPCC WG1, Beijing, China, (5)University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, (6)IPCC WG1 Technical Support Unit, Paris, France
Employment of Compound Events in Developing and Validating the Stochastic Spatial Weather Generator (580946)
Martin Dubrovsky1,2, Ondrej Lhotka1,2, Jiri Miksovsky2,3, Michele Salis4, Petr Stepanek2, Petr Skalak2 and Jan Meitner2, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Republic, (2)Global Change Research Institute CAS, Brno, Czech Republic, (3)Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Department of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, 180, Czech Republic, (4)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy
Temperature regimes, climate extremes, and the waning of winter in Minnesota (591005)
Siiri Bigalke, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Geography, Environment & Society, Minneapolis, MN, United States, Daniel Griffin, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Geography, Environment & Society, Minneapolis, United States and Kenneth Blumenfeld, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, State Climatology Office, Saint Paul, United States
Memory effects of extreme hydroclimatic events (592724)
Milad Hooshyar1, Caroline Wagner2, Wenchang Yang3, Rachel Baker2, C. Jessica E Metcalf2, Gabriel Andres Vecchi3, Bryan Grenfell2 and Amilcare M Porporato4, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, United States, (2)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
Large-scale drivers of connected atmospheric rivers along the US West Coast (Invited) (607120)
Meredith Anne Fish1, Anna Maria Wilson1, James Done2 and F Martin Ralph3, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, La Jolla, CA, United States
A multivariate analysis of the risk of concurrent precipitation extremes across multiple regions (614302)
Jitendra Singh1, Moetasim Ashfaq2, Christopher B Skinner3 and Deepti Singh1, (1)Washington State University Vancouver, Vancouver, WA, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)University of Massachusetts Lowell, Environmental, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Lowell, MA, United States
Correlated Risks for Heavy Precipitation in Mega-cities in East Asia (616510)
Masahiko Haraguchi, Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School, Cambridge, MA, United States, Soojun Kim, Inha University, Incheon, South Korea and Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
Concomitant Heat Waves in Central Chile and Southeastern South America: Synoptic Environment, Impacts, and Predictability (622492)
Martín Jacques-Coper, Universidad de Concepción, Departamento de Geofísica & Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Concepcion, Chile, Pablo G. Zaninelli, Universidad de Buenos Aires (CIMA) & Universidad de La Plata (FCAG), Buenos Aires, Argentina, Lluis Fita Borrell, Universidad de Buenos Aires, CIMA, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Mariano Álvarez, Universidad de Buenos Aires, CIMA & DCAO, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Anna Amelia Sorensson, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Camila Desiree Alvarez-Garreton, Center for Climate and Resilience Research, CR2, Santiago, Chile, Daniel Veloso-Águila, Universidad de Concepción, Chile, Departamento de Geofísica, Concepción, Chile and Alvaro Gonzalez-Reyes, Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Valdivia, Chile
Historical trends and mechanisms of concurrent global-scale extreme temperature events (627046)
Deepti Singh, Washington State University, Vancouver, WA, United States, Kai Kornhuber, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, Corey Samuel Lesk, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Radley M Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
